Similar to what I did after the Senior Bowl, here's a consensus from around the Web of those prospects who most helped or hurt their draft stock at the NFL Combine. There are eleven sources here for offensive players and ten sources for defensive players (the sources are listed below the two lists of players). I hope to add my own thoughts to these "results" this weekend. But for now, if you're interested, you can glance below and easily see the consensus top five players who helped or hurt their draft stock this past week.
Helped Their Stock
"votes" - name, position, school (source)
10 - Dustin Keller, TE, Purdue (RL, AW, NH, TP, PF, FC, RO, BB, RB, DP)
9 - Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas (RL, AW, TP, PF, FC, BB, RB, LZ, DP)
8 - Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois (RL, AW, TP, PF, FC, RB, LZ, DP)
8 - Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee St. (RL, AW, NH, TP, FC, RO, BB, RB)
8 - Vernon Gholston, DE/OLB, Ohio State (RL, AW, TP, PF, FC, RO, BB, RB)
7 - Chris Johnson, RB, East Carolina (RL, AW, NH, PF, RO, BB, RB)
7 - Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon (AW, TP, PF, FC, RO, RB, LZ)
6 - Jake Long, OT, Michigan (RL, AW, FC, BB, RB, DP)
5 - Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan State (RL, AW, TP, FC, RO)
5 - Jeremy Zuttah, OL, Rutgers (AW, TP, FC, BB, DP)
5 - Chris Long, DE/OLB, Virginia (RL, AW, PF, FC, RB)
4 - Josh Barrett, S, Arizona State (RL, FC, RO, BB)
3 - Eddie Royal, WR, Virginia Tech (RO, BB, DP)
3 - Brad Cottam, TE, Tennessee (FC, BB, RB)
3 - Cliff Avril, DE/OLB, Purdue (RL, PF, FC)
3 - Justin King, CB, Penn State (FC, BB, LZ)
2 - Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware (NH, BB)
2 - Colt Brennan, QB, Hawaii (PF, BB)
2 - Andre Caldwell, WR, Florida (RL, TP)
2 - James Hardy, WR, Indiana (RO, RB)
2 - Limas Sweed, WR, Texas (RO, RB)
2 - Craig Stevens, TE, California (TP, RB)
2 - Branden Albert, G/T, Virginia (LZ, DP)
2 - Dre Moore, DT, Maryland (RL, BB)
2 - Quentin Groves, DE, Auburn (NH, FC, RO)
2 - Derrick Harvey, DE/OLB, Florida (RL, FC)
2 - Marcus Howard, DE/OLB, Georgia (TP, BB)
2 - Gary Guyton, LB, Georgia Tech (AW, BB)
2 - Stanford Kegler, LB, Purdue (PF, BB)
2 - Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas (RO, LZ)
1 - Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville (RL)
1 - Josh Johnson, QB, San Diego (RL)
1 - Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College (AW)
1 - Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas (RO)
1 - Kevin Smith, RB, Central Florida (LZ)
1 - Matt Forte, RB, Tulane (LZ)
1 - Dexter Jackson, WR, Appalachian State (FC)
1 - DeSean Jackson, WR, California (DP)
1 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Kansas State (DP)
1 - Carl Nicks, OT, Nebraska (TP)
1 - Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt (FC)
1 - Duane Brown, OT, Virginia Tech (BB)
1 - Donald Thomas, G, Connecticut (BB)
1 - Mike Pollak, C, Arizona State (BB)
1 - Jason Jones, DE, Eastern Michigan (TP)
1 - Trevor Laws, DT, Notre Dame (FC)
1 - Wesley Woodyard, LB, Kentucky (RL)
1 - Bryan Kehl, LB, BYU (TP)
1 - Jerod Mayo, LB, Tennessee (BB)
1 - Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy (RL)
1 - Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona (FC)
1 - Orlando Scandrick, CB, Boise State (FC)
1 - Tracy Porter, CB, Indiana (RO)
1 - Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida (RB)
1 - Kenny Phillips, S, Miami (RL)
Hurt Their Stock
"votes" - name, position, school (source)
8 - Mike Hart, RB, Michigan (RL, AW, TP, PF, FC, RO, BB, LZ)
7 - Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan (AW, TP, PF, FC, RO, BB, RB)
6 - Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh (RL, AW, FC, RO, BB, DP)
6 - Ali Highsmith, LB, LSU (RL, FC, RO, BB, RB, LZ)
5 - John Carlson, TE, Notre Dame (RL, PF, FC, RO, RB)
3 - DeSean Jackson, WR, California (NH, PF, RO)
3 - Jermichael Finley, TE, Texas (FC, BB, LZ)
3 - Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU (AW, NH, RB)
3 - Frank Okam, DT, Texas (RL, FC, BB)
3 - Branden Flowers, CB, Virginia Tech (AW, TP, FC)
3 - DeJuan Tribble, CB, Boston College (NH, FC, BB)
3 - Marcus Griffin, S, Texas (RL, FC, BB)
2 - Davone Bess, WR, Hawaii (FC, BB)
2 - Calais Campbell, DE, Miami (TP, BB)
2 - Curtis Lofton, LB, Oklahoma (AW, LZ)
2 - Kenny Phillips, S, Miami (FC, BB)
1 - Andre’ Woodson, QB, Kentucky (NH)
1 - Josh Johnson, QB, San Diego (DP)
1 - Anthony Morrelli, QB, Penn State (BB)
1 - Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas (LZ)
1 - Ryan Torain, RB, Arizona State (FC)
1 - Yvenson Bernard, RB, Oregon State (RB)
1 - Adarius Bowman, WR, Oklahoma State (FC)
1 - Fred Davis, TE, USC (RB)
1 - Barry Richardson, OT, Clemson (FC)
1 - Chad Rinehart, OL, Northern Iowa (BB)
1 - Pedro Sosa, OT, Rutgers (FC)
1 - Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson (FC)
1 - Pat Sims, DT, Auburn (RL)
1 - Letroy Guion, DT, Florida State (FC)
1 - Jolonn Dunbar, LB, Boston College (FC)
1 - Spencer Larsen, LB, Arizona (BB)
1 - Alvin Bowen, LB, Iowa State (LZ)
1 - Jordon Dizon, LB, Colorado (LZ)
1 - Chevis Jackson, CB, LSU (RL)
1 - Jack Ikegwuonu, CB, Wisconsin (NH)
1 - D.J. Wolfe, S, Oklahoma (FC)
Sources
AW: Allen Wilson, Buffalo News, "McFadden still tops NFL prospect list."
BB: Ben Broman, NFL Draft Watch, "Combine Review—Defense" and "Combine Review—Offense."
DP: Dan Pompei, Chicago Tribune, "Draft stock now soaring for Keller, Mendenhall." Note: Only offensive players are discussed in this article.
FC: Frank Coyle, Draft Insiders' Digest, NFL Draft Prospects (four reports from the combine).
LZ: Lance Zierlein, The Z Report, "Notes From the Combine."
NH: The NFL House, "Stock Up/Stock Down." Note: this link is not to an article, but to a web page that changes as the draft process goes along; the players counted for this consensus are on the page as of February 28.
PF: Pete Fiutak, College Football News, "Who's hot, who's not, NFL Combine version."
RB: Roshan Bhagat, Football's Future, "2008 Scouting Combine Review"
RL: Russ Lande, The Sporting News, "Combine Dish: Winner and Losers."
RO: Rich O'Callaghan, Giants 101, "2008 NFL Combine: Winners & Losers"
TP: Tony Pauline, TFY/SI.com, "Assessing the winners, losers at scouting combine."
Thursday, February 28, 2008
2008 NFL Mock Draft
ROUND ONE
1. Miami Dolphins
Chris Long, DE/OLB, Virginia
Playing for Al Groh at Virginia as well as he did, and being the son of a Hall-of-Famer, makes Chris Long a "Parcells guy" by association. Although he didn't perform the linebacker drills, Long excelled at the NFL combine and showed the requisite athleticism to be a 3-4 outside linebacker.
2. St. Louis Rams
Jake Long, OT, Michigan
Orlando Pace has been injured two years in a row and doesn't have many seasons ahead of him. 2005 first-rounder Alex Barron, while showing flashes of his potential, has mostly been a disappointment. If Pace and Barron are healthy, Long could start at guard for a season before taking over one of the tackle positions.
3. Atlanta Falcons
Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
The Falcons best quarterback in 2007 was Chris Redman, who happens to be a free agent. Byron Leftwich was recently released (good move), and Joey Harrington is a $2.5 million backup. Yes, the Falcons have many needs, but perhaps none bigger than the most important position in the game.
4. Oakland Raiders
Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
I think defensive tackle is the smarter pick, but I just don't see Al Davis passing on a big time SEC running back like Darren McFadden. I'm sure Mr. Davis has visions of Bo Jackson dancing through his head.
5. Kansas City Chiefs
Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU
The Chiefs have bigger needs than defensive tackle, but last year's first-day draft picks Turk Mcbride and Tank Tyler still have a lot to prove, while Alfonso Boone is solid but not spectacular.
6. New York Jets
Vernon Gholston, DE/OLB, Ohio St.
The Jets re-signed pass rusher Bryan Thomas after a career-year in 2006; the result: a lackluster performance similar to his first four seasons. They need to get more pressure and adding Gholston will help accomplish that.
7. New England Patriots (from San Francisco 49ers)
Derrick Harvey, DE/OLB, Florida
By the time next season gets rolling along, the Pats linebacking corps will be really old. OLB Mike Vrabel will be 33, while ILBs Tedy Bruschi and Junior Seau will be 35 and 39 respectively. Even heralded 2007 free-agent signing Adalius Thomas will be 31. Since the Pats defense looked better with Thomas at ILB, acquiring an OLB should probably be the higher priority.
8. Baltimore Ravens
Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
Either Steve McNair or Kyle Boller will be back next year, but probably not both. Troy Smith's future with the Ravens is almost certainly as a backup.
9. Cincinnati Bengals
Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
The Bengals have had a weakness at defensive tackle for years now. It's time for them to finally address the problem in the first round.
10. New Orleans Saints
Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy
Mike McKenzie is coming off an injury. Jason David was an awful free agency signing, looking a lot like Fred Thomas in 2006 only somehow playing even worse. 2007 third-rounder Usama Young has upside and could be a starter someday but is still a bit raw.
11. Buffalo Bills
Keith Rivers, OLB, USC
Paul Posluszny will be back from injury to start at middle linebacker, while the strongside is all set with Angelo Crowell. But a replacement for Keith Ellison on the weakside is in order.
12. Denver Broncos
DeSean Jackson, WR, California
Brandon Marshall had a breakout season and Brandon Stokley was back to being one of the best slot receivers in the game (ranked 8th in DVOA among receivers with at least 50 passes thrown their way), but with Javon Walker on his way out, the Broncos need a number two receiver who can stretch the field and help in the return game.
13. Carolina Panthers
Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State
The Panthers need to rebuild their offensive line to help keep Jake Delhomme healthy and Matt Moore on the sidelines for another season or two, where he can be brought along slowly the way Tony Romo was in Dallas.
14. Chicago Bears
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
It's time to admit that Cedric Benson was a bust and move on. As much as the Bears need improvement at QB, Mendenhall is the kind of elite runner who is actually worth a first-round pick: the kind of back whose presence can help the passing game by making the defense play eight in the box.
15. Detroit Lions
Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
Williams could help bring stability and consistency to the Detroit line, allowing Jeff Backus to move to the right side where he would be a better fit.
16. Arizona Cardinals
Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
I don't have Stewart rated as high as many others do. Still, I can't help imaging Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt imaging Stewart bringing a power running game to Arizona the way Jerome Bettis brought it in Pittsburgh.
17. Minnesota Vikings
Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson
The Vikings pass rush improved last year from a 4.6% adjusted sack rate in 2006 (ranked 31st) all the way up to a 5.5% adjusted sack rate (ranked 28th). Yeah, that's not going to cut it. I'm still tempted to sneak Jason Jones in here as I did in my first mock of the year (and a few subsequent ones), but conventional wisdom still says that's too big of a reach.
18. Houston Texans
Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida
New offensive line coach Alex Gibbs prefers to select lower round linemen and coach them up, so it seems highly unlikely the Texans will use their first round choice on a left tackle. Instead, they should turn to the other side of the ball. Coming off his knee injury, Dunta Robinson could miss significant time in 2008. If the Texans want to compete, they will have to select someone who can help their secondary immediately.
19. Philadelphia Eagles
Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh
Both starting tackles, Jon Runyan and Tre Thomas, are hitting their mid-thirites and entering the last year of their respective contracts. 2006 second rounder Winston Justice hasn't performed well when given the chance.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Earl Bennett, WR, Vanderbilt
Joey Galloway is 36. Ike Hilliard turns 32 in April. Michael Clayton hasn't delivered on the promise shown his rookie season, and Maurice Stovall has caught only 17 passes in two seasons.
21. Washington Redskins
James Hardy, WR, Indiana
Washington has a couple of good receivers in Santana Moss and Antwan Randal El, but they need to add a bigger target to help young quarterback Jason Campbell, especially in the red zone and on critical third downs.
22. Dallas Cowboys (from Cleveland Browns)
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee State
If Dallas head coach Wade Phillips had time to watch his old team the Chargers last year, he probably found himself wishing he had cornerback Antonio Cromartie with him in Big D. Well, he can't have Antonio, but if the board falls this way he can have Antonio's cousin, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, destined to be known simply as DRC.
23. Pittsburgh Steelers
Kentwan Balmer, DT/DE, North Carolina
Although the offensive line might be their biggest area of need, the Steelers also need to get younger on the defensive line. Balmer checked in at 6'4.5" and 308 lbs.—prototypical size for a 3-4 DE.
24. Tennessee Titans
Malcolm Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
I'm not sold on Vince Young, but if he’s going to succeed, the Titans must supply him with better weapons.
25. Seattle Seahawks
Sam Baker, OT/G, USC
Running back would have to be a strong consideration here as well, but the offensive line didn't play very well last year and is going to require a major infusion of talent this off season, meaning a free agent or two, in addition to a couple of draft picks. At the Senior Bowl, Baker's arms measured shorter than is hoped for by NFL scouts, but he performed well all week. Seattle general manager Tim Ruskell won't shy away from picking a player because of measurables, e.g. 2005 fifth-rounder Lofa Tatupu, who many thought was a huge reach and blunder. With all of the top tackles off the board, Virginia guard Branden Albert could also be a possibility.
26. San Diego Chargers
Branden Albert, G, Virginia
With the improvement of WR Vincent Jackson, the arrival of Chris Chambers (who played better than he had in years), and the emergence of All-Pro CB Antonio Cromartie, the Chargers have one of the most talented rosters in the league. It's a good thing, too, because they don't have many draft picks. Ideally, they would trade down to help build depth, but if they can't do that, Albert makes sense as a guy who can backup at guard or tackle until he's ready to start in a year or two at one of those positions on the right side.
27. Jacksonville Jaguars
Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
2004 first-rounder Reggie Williams had his best season, and proved to be a red zone weapon, as he put up 10 TDs, but he's still not a number one receiver. Ernest Wilford is a solid possession receiver, but he's a free agent and not likely to return. 2005 first-rounder Matt Jones does little more than catch jump balls. Dennis Northcutt is neither a number one nor number two receiver, and is questionable as a three. Recently acquired Troy Williamson was a bust in Minnesota after three seasons in the league. Short version: the Jags need lots of help at the receiver spot.
28. Dallas Cowboys
Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
Dallas would hope that Felix Jones' speed would be a fine complement to Marion Barber III's punishing style. Jones could also help improve the consistency of the kick returns.
29. Green Bay Packers
Tracy Porter, CB, Indiana
Arguably the best pure man-to-man cover guy in the draft, Porter would be a perfect fit for the Packer defense. He could step in and immediately challenge to be the nickel back. After a year or two in the NFL, he should be able to step up and replace Al Harris or Charles Woodson.
30. San Francisco 49ers (from Indianapolis Colts)
Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan State
Darrell Jackson looked worse in San Fran than he did in Seattle, and given all of the struggles had had in the Emerald City, that's a far cry from a good thing. Arnaz Battle is little more than steady, while Ashley Lelie barely resembles a pro wide out anymore.
31. New York Giants
Dan Connor, OLB, Penn State
Kawika Mitchell played better as the season wore on, but he will be a free agent. 2006 third-rounder Gerris Wilkinson showed flashes in relief of Mitchell, but is not to be counted on as a starter. Mathias Kiwanuka's conversion from defensive end had its moments, but he should be returned to the rotation along the line. All of which points to the Giants needing a linebacker with their first pick.
ROUND TWO
32. Miami Dolphins
Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware
33. St. Louis Rams
Xavier Adibi, OLB, Virginia Tech
37. Oakland Raiders
Trevor Laws, DT, Notre Dame
35. Kansas City Chiefs
Branden Flowers, CB, Virginia Tech
36. New York Jets
Gosder Cherilus, OT, Boston College
34. Atlanta Falcons
Curtis Lofton, MLB, Oklahoma
38. Baltimore Ravens
Andre Caldwell, WR, Florida
39. San Francisco 49ers
Cliff Avril, DE/OLB, Purdue
40. New Orleans Saints
Erin Henderson, LB, Maryland
41. Buffalo Bills
Dustin Keller, TE, Purdue
42. Denver Broncos
Josh Barrett, SS, Arizona State
43. Carolina Panthers
Lawrence Jackson, DE, USC
44. Chicago Bears
Chad Henne, QB, Michigan
45. Detroit Lions
Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas
46. Cincinnati Bengals
Ray Rice, RB, Rutgers
47. Minnesota Vikings
Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan
48. Atlanta Falcons (from Houston Texans)
Pat Sims, DT, Auburn
49. Philadelphia Eagles
Patrick Lee, CB, Auburn
50. Arizona Cardinals
Jason Jones, DE, Eastern Michigan
51. Washington Redskins
Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
52. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DeMario Pressley, DT, North Carolina State
53. Pittsburgh Steelers
Carl Nicks, OT, Nebraska
54. Tennessee Titans
Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas
55. Seattle Seahawks
John Carlson, TE, Notre Dame
56. Cleveland Browns
Matt Forté, RB, Tulane
57. Miami Dolphins (from San Diego Chargers)
Brad Cottam, TE, Tennessee
58. Jacksonville Jaguars
Quentin Groves, DE, Auburn
59. Indianapolis Colts
Marcus Howard, DE, Georgia
60. Green Bay Packers
Fred Davis, TE, USC
61. Dallas Cowboys
Lavelle Hawkins, WR, California
62. New York Giants
Charles Godfrey, CB, Iowa
63. New England Patriots
Jonathan Goff, ILB, Vanderbilt
1. Miami Dolphins
Chris Long, DE/OLB, Virginia
Playing for Al Groh at Virginia as well as he did, and being the son of a Hall-of-Famer, makes Chris Long a "Parcells guy" by association. Although he didn't perform the linebacker drills, Long excelled at the NFL combine and showed the requisite athleticism to be a 3-4 outside linebacker.
2. St. Louis Rams
Jake Long, OT, Michigan
Orlando Pace has been injured two years in a row and doesn't have many seasons ahead of him. 2005 first-rounder Alex Barron, while showing flashes of his potential, has mostly been a disappointment. If Pace and Barron are healthy, Long could start at guard for a season before taking over one of the tackle positions.
3. Atlanta Falcons
Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
The Falcons best quarterback in 2007 was Chris Redman, who happens to be a free agent. Byron Leftwich was recently released (good move), and Joey Harrington is a $2.5 million backup. Yes, the Falcons have many needs, but perhaps none bigger than the most important position in the game.
4. Oakland Raiders
Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
I think defensive tackle is the smarter pick, but I just don't see Al Davis passing on a big time SEC running back like Darren McFadden. I'm sure Mr. Davis has visions of Bo Jackson dancing through his head.
5. Kansas City Chiefs
Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU
The Chiefs have bigger needs than defensive tackle, but last year's first-day draft picks Turk Mcbride and Tank Tyler still have a lot to prove, while Alfonso Boone is solid but not spectacular.
6. New York Jets
Vernon Gholston, DE/OLB, Ohio St.
The Jets re-signed pass rusher Bryan Thomas after a career-year in 2006; the result: a lackluster performance similar to his first four seasons. They need to get more pressure and adding Gholston will help accomplish that.
7. New England Patriots (from San Francisco 49ers)
Derrick Harvey, DE/OLB, Florida
By the time next season gets rolling along, the Pats linebacking corps will be really old. OLB Mike Vrabel will be 33, while ILBs Tedy Bruschi and Junior Seau will be 35 and 39 respectively. Even heralded 2007 free-agent signing Adalius Thomas will be 31. Since the Pats defense looked better with Thomas at ILB, acquiring an OLB should probably be the higher priority.
8. Baltimore Ravens
Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
Either Steve McNair or Kyle Boller will be back next year, but probably not both. Troy Smith's future with the Ravens is almost certainly as a backup.
9. Cincinnati Bengals
Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
The Bengals have had a weakness at defensive tackle for years now. It's time for them to finally address the problem in the first round.
10. New Orleans Saints
Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy
Mike McKenzie is coming off an injury. Jason David was an awful free agency signing, looking a lot like Fred Thomas in 2006 only somehow playing even worse. 2007 third-rounder Usama Young has upside and could be a starter someday but is still a bit raw.
11. Buffalo Bills
Keith Rivers, OLB, USC
Paul Posluszny will be back from injury to start at middle linebacker, while the strongside is all set with Angelo Crowell. But a replacement for Keith Ellison on the weakside is in order.
12. Denver Broncos
DeSean Jackson, WR, California
Brandon Marshall had a breakout season and Brandon Stokley was back to being one of the best slot receivers in the game (ranked 8th in DVOA among receivers with at least 50 passes thrown their way), but with Javon Walker on his way out, the Broncos need a number two receiver who can stretch the field and help in the return game.
13. Carolina Panthers
Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State
The Panthers need to rebuild their offensive line to help keep Jake Delhomme healthy and Matt Moore on the sidelines for another season or two, where he can be brought along slowly the way Tony Romo was in Dallas.
14. Chicago Bears
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
It's time to admit that Cedric Benson was a bust and move on. As much as the Bears need improvement at QB, Mendenhall is the kind of elite runner who is actually worth a first-round pick: the kind of back whose presence can help the passing game by making the defense play eight in the box.
15. Detroit Lions
Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
Williams could help bring stability and consistency to the Detroit line, allowing Jeff Backus to move to the right side where he would be a better fit.
16. Arizona Cardinals
Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
I don't have Stewart rated as high as many others do. Still, I can't help imaging Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt imaging Stewart bringing a power running game to Arizona the way Jerome Bettis brought it in Pittsburgh.
17. Minnesota Vikings
Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson
The Vikings pass rush improved last year from a 4.6% adjusted sack rate in 2006 (ranked 31st) all the way up to a 5.5% adjusted sack rate (ranked 28th). Yeah, that's not going to cut it. I'm still tempted to sneak Jason Jones in here as I did in my first mock of the year (and a few subsequent ones), but conventional wisdom still says that's too big of a reach.
18. Houston Texans
Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida
New offensive line coach Alex Gibbs prefers to select lower round linemen and coach them up, so it seems highly unlikely the Texans will use their first round choice on a left tackle. Instead, they should turn to the other side of the ball. Coming off his knee injury, Dunta Robinson could miss significant time in 2008. If the Texans want to compete, they will have to select someone who can help their secondary immediately.
19. Philadelphia Eagles
Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh
Both starting tackles, Jon Runyan and Tre Thomas, are hitting their mid-thirites and entering the last year of their respective contracts. 2006 second rounder Winston Justice hasn't performed well when given the chance.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Earl Bennett, WR, Vanderbilt
Joey Galloway is 36. Ike Hilliard turns 32 in April. Michael Clayton hasn't delivered on the promise shown his rookie season, and Maurice Stovall has caught only 17 passes in two seasons.
21. Washington Redskins
James Hardy, WR, Indiana
Washington has a couple of good receivers in Santana Moss and Antwan Randal El, but they need to add a bigger target to help young quarterback Jason Campbell, especially in the red zone and on critical third downs.
22. Dallas Cowboys (from Cleveland Browns)
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee State
If Dallas head coach Wade Phillips had time to watch his old team the Chargers last year, he probably found himself wishing he had cornerback Antonio Cromartie with him in Big D. Well, he can't have Antonio, but if the board falls this way he can have Antonio's cousin, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, destined to be known simply as DRC.
23. Pittsburgh Steelers
Kentwan Balmer, DT/DE, North Carolina
Although the offensive line might be their biggest area of need, the Steelers also need to get younger on the defensive line. Balmer checked in at 6'4.5" and 308 lbs.—prototypical size for a 3-4 DE.
24. Tennessee Titans
Malcolm Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
I'm not sold on Vince Young, but if he’s going to succeed, the Titans must supply him with better weapons.
25. Seattle Seahawks
Sam Baker, OT/G, USC
Running back would have to be a strong consideration here as well, but the offensive line didn't play very well last year and is going to require a major infusion of talent this off season, meaning a free agent or two, in addition to a couple of draft picks. At the Senior Bowl, Baker's arms measured shorter than is hoped for by NFL scouts, but he performed well all week. Seattle general manager Tim Ruskell won't shy away from picking a player because of measurables, e.g. 2005 fifth-rounder Lofa Tatupu, who many thought was a huge reach and blunder. With all of the top tackles off the board, Virginia guard Branden Albert could also be a possibility.
26. San Diego Chargers
Branden Albert, G, Virginia
With the improvement of WR Vincent Jackson, the arrival of Chris Chambers (who played better than he had in years), and the emergence of All-Pro CB Antonio Cromartie, the Chargers have one of the most talented rosters in the league. It's a good thing, too, because they don't have many draft picks. Ideally, they would trade down to help build depth, but if they can't do that, Albert makes sense as a guy who can backup at guard or tackle until he's ready to start in a year or two at one of those positions on the right side.
27. Jacksonville Jaguars
Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
2004 first-rounder Reggie Williams had his best season, and proved to be a red zone weapon, as he put up 10 TDs, but he's still not a number one receiver. Ernest Wilford is a solid possession receiver, but he's a free agent and not likely to return. 2005 first-rounder Matt Jones does little more than catch jump balls. Dennis Northcutt is neither a number one nor number two receiver, and is questionable as a three. Recently acquired Troy Williamson was a bust in Minnesota after three seasons in the league. Short version: the Jags need lots of help at the receiver spot.
28. Dallas Cowboys
Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
Dallas would hope that Felix Jones' speed would be a fine complement to Marion Barber III's punishing style. Jones could also help improve the consistency of the kick returns.
29. Green Bay Packers
Tracy Porter, CB, Indiana
Arguably the best pure man-to-man cover guy in the draft, Porter would be a perfect fit for the Packer defense. He could step in and immediately challenge to be the nickel back. After a year or two in the NFL, he should be able to step up and replace Al Harris or Charles Woodson.
30. San Francisco 49ers (from Indianapolis Colts)
Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan State
Darrell Jackson looked worse in San Fran than he did in Seattle, and given all of the struggles had had in the Emerald City, that's a far cry from a good thing. Arnaz Battle is little more than steady, while Ashley Lelie barely resembles a pro wide out anymore.
31. New York Giants
Dan Connor, OLB, Penn State
Kawika Mitchell played better as the season wore on, but he will be a free agent. 2006 third-rounder Gerris Wilkinson showed flashes in relief of Mitchell, but is not to be counted on as a starter. Mathias Kiwanuka's conversion from defensive end had its moments, but he should be returned to the rotation along the line. All of which points to the Giants needing a linebacker with their first pick.
ROUND TWO
32. Miami Dolphins
Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware
33. St. Louis Rams
Xavier Adibi, OLB, Virginia Tech
37. Oakland Raiders
Trevor Laws, DT, Notre Dame
35. Kansas City Chiefs
Branden Flowers, CB, Virginia Tech
36. New York Jets
Gosder Cherilus, OT, Boston College
34. Atlanta Falcons
Curtis Lofton, MLB, Oklahoma
38. Baltimore Ravens
Andre Caldwell, WR, Florida
39. San Francisco 49ers
Cliff Avril, DE/OLB, Purdue
40. New Orleans Saints
Erin Henderson, LB, Maryland
41. Buffalo Bills
Dustin Keller, TE, Purdue
42. Denver Broncos
Josh Barrett, SS, Arizona State
43. Carolina Panthers
Lawrence Jackson, DE, USC
44. Chicago Bears
Chad Henne, QB, Michigan
45. Detroit Lions
Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas
46. Cincinnati Bengals
Ray Rice, RB, Rutgers
47. Minnesota Vikings
Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan
48. Atlanta Falcons (from Houston Texans)
Pat Sims, DT, Auburn
49. Philadelphia Eagles
Patrick Lee, CB, Auburn
50. Arizona Cardinals
Jason Jones, DE, Eastern Michigan
51. Washington Redskins
Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
52. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DeMario Pressley, DT, North Carolina State
53. Pittsburgh Steelers
Carl Nicks, OT, Nebraska
54. Tennessee Titans
Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas
55. Seattle Seahawks
John Carlson, TE, Notre Dame
56. Cleveland Browns
Matt Forté, RB, Tulane
57. Miami Dolphins (from San Diego Chargers)
Brad Cottam, TE, Tennessee
58. Jacksonville Jaguars
Quentin Groves, DE, Auburn
59. Indianapolis Colts
Marcus Howard, DE, Georgia
60. Green Bay Packers
Fred Davis, TE, USC
61. Dallas Cowboys
Lavelle Hawkins, WR, California
62. New York Giants
Charles Godfrey, CB, Iowa
63. New England Patriots
Jonathan Goff, ILB, Vanderbilt
Wednesday, February 27, 2008
2008 NFL Draft position rankings
OFFENSE
Quarterbak
1. Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
2. Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
3. Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware
4. Chad Henne, QB, Michigan
5. Erik Ainge, QB, Tennessee
6. Josh Johnson, QB, San Diego
7. John David Booty, QB, USC
8. Andre’ Woodson, QB, Kentucky
9. Dennis Dixon, QB, Oregon
10. Adam Tafralis, QB, San Jose State
11. Paul Smith, QB, Tulsa
12. Colt Brennan, QB, Hawaii
13. Matt Flynn, QB, LSU
14. Sam Keller, QB, Nebraska
15. Nick Hill, QB, Southern Illinois
Running Back
1. Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
2. Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
3. Cory Boyd, RB, South Carolina
4. Ray Rice, RB, Rutgers
5. Kevin Smith, RB, Central Florida
6. Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
7. Thomas Brown, RB, Georgia
8. Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
9. Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas
10. Tashard Choice, RB, Georgia Tech
11. Justin Forsett, RB, California
12. Matt Forte, RB, Tulane
13. Mike Hart, RB, Michigan
14. Chris Johnson, RB, East Carolina
15. Steve Slaton, RB, West Virginia
16. BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB, Mississippi
17. Adrian Smith, RB, Bethel College
18. Xavier Omon, RB, NW Missouri State
19. Allen Patrick, RB, Oklahoma
20. Chauncey Washington, RB, USC
21. Anthony Alridge, RB, Houston
22. Dantrell Savage, RB, Oklahoma State
23. Marcus Thomas, RB, UTEP
24. Ryan Torain, RB, Arizona State
25. Tim Hightower, RB, Richmond
Fullback
1. Owen Schmitt, FB, West Virginia
2. Peyton Hillis, FB, Arkansas
3. Jerome Felton, FB, Furman
4. Chris Brown, TE, Tennessee
5. Carl Stewart, FB, Auburn
6. Jacob Hester, FB, LSU
7. Julius Crosslin, FB, Oklahoma State
8. Brandon McAnderson, RB, Kansas
9. Mike Cox, FB, Georgia Tech
10. Adam Ballard, FB, Navy
11. Rolly Lumbala, FB, Idaho
Wide Receiver
1. Malcolm Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
2. James Hardy, WR, Indiana
3. Lavelle Hawkins, WR, California
4. Earl Bennett, WR, Vanderbilt
5. Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan State
6. Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan
7. Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
8. Andre Caldwell, WR, Florida
9. Eddie Royal, WR, Virginia Tech
10. Harry Douglas, WR, Louisville
11. DeSean Jackson, WR, California
12. Jordy Nelson, WR, Kansas State
13. Adarius Bowman, WR, Oklahoma State
14. Adrian Arrington, WR, Michigan
15. Marcus Monk, WR, Arkansas
16. Early Doucet, WR, LSU
17. Dexter Jackson, WR, Appalachian State
18. Steve Johnson, WR, Kentucky
19. Donnie Avery, WR, Houston
20. Pierre Garcon, WR, Mount Union
21. Jaymar Johnson, WR, Jackson State
22. Darius Reynaud, WR, West Virginia
23. Danny Amendola, WR, Texas Tech
24. Jerome Simpson, WR, Coastal Carolina
25. Jason Rivers, WR, Hawaii
26. Josh Morgan, WR, Viginia Tech
27. Taj Smith, WR, Syracuse
28. Mario Urrutia, WR, Louisville
29. Justin Harper, WR, Viginia Tech
30. Davone Bess, WR, Hawaii
Tight End
1. John Carlson, TE, Notre Dame
2. Martin Rucker, TE, Missouri
3. Kellen Davis, TE, Michigan State
4. Dustin Keller, TE, Purdue
5. Fred Davis, TE, USC
6. Brad Cottam, TE, Tennessee
7. Jermichael Finley, TE, Texas
8. Jacob Tamme, TE, Kentucky
9. Craig Stevens, TE, California
10. Darrell Strong, TE, Pittsburgh
11. Martellus Bennett, TE, Texas A&M
12. Joey Haynos, TE, Maryland
13. Matt Sherry, TE, Villanova
14. Gary Barnidge, TE, Louisville
15. Tom Santi, TE, Virginia
16. Mike Peterson, TE, NW Missouri State
17. Derek Fine, TE, Kansas
18. Cole Bennett, TE, Auburn
19. Adam Bishop, TE, Nevada
20. Kolomoma Kapanui, TE, West Texas A&M
Offensive Tackle
1. Jake Long, OT, Michigan
2. Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
3. Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh
4. Carl Nicks, OT, Nebraska
5. Anthony Collins, OT, Kansas
6. Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State
7. Duane Brown, OT, Virginia Tech
8. Gosder Cherilus, OT, Boston College
9. John Greco, OT, Toledo
10. Oneil Cousins, OT, UTEP
11. Heath Benedict, OT, Newberry
12. Kirk Barton, OT, Ohio State
13. Tony Hills, OT, Texas
14. Brandon Keith, OT, Northern Iowa
15. Barry Richardson, OT, Clemson
Offensive Guard
1. Branden Albert, G, Virginia
2. Sam Baker, OT, USC
3. Roy Schuening, G, Oregon State
4. Eric Young, G, Tennessee
5. Drew Radovich, G, USC
6. Chilo Rachal, G, USC
7. Donald Thomas, G, Connecticut
8. Jeremy Zuttah, OT, Rutgers
9. Chad Rinehart, G, Northern Iowa
10. Andrew Crummey, G, Maryland
11. Chris McDuffie, G, Clemson
12. Chester Adams, G, Georgia
13. Robert Felton, G, Arkansas
14. Mike McGlynn, G, Pittsburgh
15. Will Arnold, G, LSU
16. John Booker, G, San Jose State
17. Shannon Tevaga, G, UCLA
18. Justin Britt, G, Alabama
19. Kerry Brown, G, Appalachian State
20. Adam Kraus, G, Michigan
Center
1. Mike Pollak, C, Arizona State
2. John Sullivan, C, Notre Dame
3. Fernando Velasco, C, Georgia
4. Steve Justice, C, Wake Forest
5. Cody Wallace, C, Texas A&M
6. Kory Lichtensteiger, C, Bowling Green
7. Eric Scott, C, Kentucky
8. Adam Spieker, C, Missouri
9. Drew Miller, G, Florida
10. Matt Spanos, C, USC
DEFENSE
Defensive End
1. Chris Long, DE, Virginia
2. Derrick Harvey, DE, Florida
3. Jason Jones, DE, Eastern Michigan
4. Vernon Gholston, DE, Ohio State
5. Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson
6. Cliff Avril, DE, Purdue
7. Jeremy Thompson, DE, Wake Forest
8. Calais Campbell, DE, Miami
9. Chris Ellis, DE, Virginia Tech
10. Lawrence Jackson, DE, USC
11. Kendall Langford, DE, Hampton
12. Darrell Robertson, DE, Georgia Tech
13. Eric Foster, DE, Rutgers
14. Xavier Mitchell, DE, Tennessee
15. Titus Brown, DE, Mississippi State
16. Wallace Gilberry, DE, Alabama
17. Rob Jackson, DE, Kansas State
18. Kenny Iwebema, DE, Iowa
19. Marcus Dixon, DT, Hampton
20. Angelo Craig, DE, Cincinnati
Defensive Tackle
1. Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
2. Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU
3. Kentwan Balmer, DT, North Carolina
4. Trevor Laws, DT, Notre Dame
5. Marcus Harrison, DT, Arkansas
6. Ahtyba Rubin, DT, Iowa State
7. Pat Sims, DT, Auburn
8. DeMario Pressley, DT, North Carolina State
9. Andre Fluellen, DT, Florida State
10. Dre Moore, DT, Maryland
11. Red Bryant, DT, Texas A&M
12. Lorenzo Williams, DT, Missouri
13. Frank Morton, DT, Tulane
14. Nick Hayden, DT, Wisconsin
15. Frank Okam, DT, Texas
16. Letroy Guion, DT, Florida State
17. Jason Shirley, DT, Fresno State
18. George Chukwu, DT, Rice
19. Josh Thompson, DT, Auburn
20. Maurice Murray, DT, New Mexico St
Outside Linebacker
1. Keith Rivers, LB, USC
2. Xavier Adibi, LB, Virginia Tech
3. Dan Connor, LB, Penn State
4. Erin Henderson, LB, Maryland
5. Marcus Howard, DE, Georgia
6. Shawn Crable, DE, Michigan
7. Jordon Dizon, LB, Colorado
8. Ali Highsmith, LB, LSU
9. Ezra Butler, LB, Nevada
10. Bruce Davis, DE, UCLA
11. Quentin Groves, DE, Auburn
12. Tavares Gooden, LB, Miami
13. Gary Guyton, LB, Georgia Tech
14. Wesley Woodyard, LB, Kentucky
15. Stanford Kegler, LB, Purdue
16. Chase Ortiz, DE, TCU
17. Steven Octavien, OLB, Nebraska
18. Vince Redd, DE, Liberty
19. Robert Killebrew, LB, Texas
20. Jameel McClain, DE, Syracuse
21. Geno Hayes, LB, Florida State
22. Brian Kehl, LB, BYU
Middle Linebacker
1. Curtis Lofton, LB, Oklahoma
2. Jerod Mayo, LB, Tennessee
3. Jonathan Goff, LB, Vanderbilt
4. Spencer Larsen, LB, Arizona
5. Phillip Wheeler, LB, Georgia Tech
6. Jolonn Dunbar, LB, Boston College
7. Rodrick Johnson, LB, Oklahoma State
8. Danny Lansanah, LB, Connecticut
9. Vince Hall, LB, Virginia Tech
10. Beau Bell, LB, UNLV
11. Ben Moffitt, LB, South Florida
12. Anthony Hoke, LB, Cincinnati
13. J Leman, LB, Illinois
14. Joe Mays, LB, North Dakota State
15. Steve Allen, LB, West Texas A&M
Cornerback
1. Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy
2. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee State
3. Branden Flowers, CB, Virginia Tech
4. Tracy Porter, CB, Indiana
5. Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida
6. Patrick Lee, CB, Auburn
7. Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas
8. Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
9. Charles Godfrey, CB, Iowa
10. Justin King, CB, Penn State
11. Antwaun Molden, CB, Eastern Kentucky
12. Trae Williams, CB, South Florida
13. Dwight Lowery, CB, San Jose State
14. Jonathan Wilhite, CB, Auburn
15. Zach Bowman, CB, Nebraska
16. Tyvon Branch, CB, Connecticut
17. Chevis Jackson, CB, LSU
18. Justin Tryon, CB, Arizona State
19. Rodney Van, CB, UCLA
20. Jack Ikegwuonu, CB, Wisconsin
21. Terrance Wheatley, CB, Colorado
22. Trey Brown, CB, UCLA
23. Michael Hinton, CB, Mankato State
24. Darnell Terrell, CB, Missouri
25. Marcus Walker, CB, Oklahoma
Safety
1. Josh Barrett, SS, Arizona State
2. Kenny Phillips, SS, Miami
3. Reggie Smith, CB, Oklahoma
4. Terrell Thomas, CB, USC
5. Thomas DeCoud, FS, California
6. Tyrell Johnson, SS, Arkansas State
7. David Roach, SS, TCU
8. Tom Zbikowski, SS, Notre Dame
9. Jamar Adams, SS, Michigan
10. Marcus Griffin, FS, Texas
11. Dominique Barber, FS, Minnesota
12. DaJuan Morgan, FS, North Carolina State
13. Jamie Silva, SS, Boston College
14. Caleb Campbell, SS, Army
15. Quintin Demps, SS, UTEP
16. D.J. Parker, FS, Virginia Tech
17. Simeon Castille, CB, Alabama
18. Jonathan Hefney, CB, Tennessee
19. Michael Grant, FS, Arkansas
20. Craig Steltz, SS, LSU
Quarterbak
1. Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
2. Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
3. Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware
4. Chad Henne, QB, Michigan
5. Erik Ainge, QB, Tennessee
6. Josh Johnson, QB, San Diego
7. John David Booty, QB, USC
8. Andre’ Woodson, QB, Kentucky
9. Dennis Dixon, QB, Oregon
10. Adam Tafralis, QB, San Jose State
11. Paul Smith, QB, Tulsa
12. Colt Brennan, QB, Hawaii
13. Matt Flynn, QB, LSU
14. Sam Keller, QB, Nebraska
15. Nick Hill, QB, Southern Illinois
Running Back
1. Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
2. Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
3. Cory Boyd, RB, South Carolina
4. Ray Rice, RB, Rutgers
5. Kevin Smith, RB, Central Florida
6. Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
7. Thomas Brown, RB, Georgia
8. Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
9. Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas
10. Tashard Choice, RB, Georgia Tech
11. Justin Forsett, RB, California
12. Matt Forte, RB, Tulane
13. Mike Hart, RB, Michigan
14. Chris Johnson, RB, East Carolina
15. Steve Slaton, RB, West Virginia
16. BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB, Mississippi
17. Adrian Smith, RB, Bethel College
18. Xavier Omon, RB, NW Missouri State
19. Allen Patrick, RB, Oklahoma
20. Chauncey Washington, RB, USC
21. Anthony Alridge, RB, Houston
22. Dantrell Savage, RB, Oklahoma State
23. Marcus Thomas, RB, UTEP
24. Ryan Torain, RB, Arizona State
25. Tim Hightower, RB, Richmond
Fullback
1. Owen Schmitt, FB, West Virginia
2. Peyton Hillis, FB, Arkansas
3. Jerome Felton, FB, Furman
4. Chris Brown, TE, Tennessee
5. Carl Stewart, FB, Auburn
6. Jacob Hester, FB, LSU
7. Julius Crosslin, FB, Oklahoma State
8. Brandon McAnderson, RB, Kansas
9. Mike Cox, FB, Georgia Tech
10. Adam Ballard, FB, Navy
11. Rolly Lumbala, FB, Idaho
Wide Receiver
1. Malcolm Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
2. James Hardy, WR, Indiana
3. Lavelle Hawkins, WR, California
4. Earl Bennett, WR, Vanderbilt
5. Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan State
6. Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan
7. Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
8. Andre Caldwell, WR, Florida
9. Eddie Royal, WR, Virginia Tech
10. Harry Douglas, WR, Louisville
11. DeSean Jackson, WR, California
12. Jordy Nelson, WR, Kansas State
13. Adarius Bowman, WR, Oklahoma State
14. Adrian Arrington, WR, Michigan
15. Marcus Monk, WR, Arkansas
16. Early Doucet, WR, LSU
17. Dexter Jackson, WR, Appalachian State
18. Steve Johnson, WR, Kentucky
19. Donnie Avery, WR, Houston
20. Pierre Garcon, WR, Mount Union
21. Jaymar Johnson, WR, Jackson State
22. Darius Reynaud, WR, West Virginia
23. Danny Amendola, WR, Texas Tech
24. Jerome Simpson, WR, Coastal Carolina
25. Jason Rivers, WR, Hawaii
26. Josh Morgan, WR, Viginia Tech
27. Taj Smith, WR, Syracuse
28. Mario Urrutia, WR, Louisville
29. Justin Harper, WR, Viginia Tech
30. Davone Bess, WR, Hawaii
Tight End
1. John Carlson, TE, Notre Dame
2. Martin Rucker, TE, Missouri
3. Kellen Davis, TE, Michigan State
4. Dustin Keller, TE, Purdue
5. Fred Davis, TE, USC
6. Brad Cottam, TE, Tennessee
7. Jermichael Finley, TE, Texas
8. Jacob Tamme, TE, Kentucky
9. Craig Stevens, TE, California
10. Darrell Strong, TE, Pittsburgh
11. Martellus Bennett, TE, Texas A&M
12. Joey Haynos, TE, Maryland
13. Matt Sherry, TE, Villanova
14. Gary Barnidge, TE, Louisville
15. Tom Santi, TE, Virginia
16. Mike Peterson, TE, NW Missouri State
17. Derek Fine, TE, Kansas
18. Cole Bennett, TE, Auburn
19. Adam Bishop, TE, Nevada
20. Kolomoma Kapanui, TE, West Texas A&M
Offensive Tackle
1. Jake Long, OT, Michigan
2. Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
3. Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh
4. Carl Nicks, OT, Nebraska
5. Anthony Collins, OT, Kansas
6. Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State
7. Duane Brown, OT, Virginia Tech
8. Gosder Cherilus, OT, Boston College
9. John Greco, OT, Toledo
10. Oneil Cousins, OT, UTEP
11. Heath Benedict, OT, Newberry
12. Kirk Barton, OT, Ohio State
13. Tony Hills, OT, Texas
14. Brandon Keith, OT, Northern Iowa
15. Barry Richardson, OT, Clemson
Offensive Guard
1. Branden Albert, G, Virginia
2. Sam Baker, OT, USC
3. Roy Schuening, G, Oregon State
4. Eric Young, G, Tennessee
5. Drew Radovich, G, USC
6. Chilo Rachal, G, USC
7. Donald Thomas, G, Connecticut
8. Jeremy Zuttah, OT, Rutgers
9. Chad Rinehart, G, Northern Iowa
10. Andrew Crummey, G, Maryland
11. Chris McDuffie, G, Clemson
12. Chester Adams, G, Georgia
13. Robert Felton, G, Arkansas
14. Mike McGlynn, G, Pittsburgh
15. Will Arnold, G, LSU
16. John Booker, G, San Jose State
17. Shannon Tevaga, G, UCLA
18. Justin Britt, G, Alabama
19. Kerry Brown, G, Appalachian State
20. Adam Kraus, G, Michigan
Center
1. Mike Pollak, C, Arizona State
2. John Sullivan, C, Notre Dame
3. Fernando Velasco, C, Georgia
4. Steve Justice, C, Wake Forest
5. Cody Wallace, C, Texas A&M
6. Kory Lichtensteiger, C, Bowling Green
7. Eric Scott, C, Kentucky
8. Adam Spieker, C, Missouri
9. Drew Miller, G, Florida
10. Matt Spanos, C, USC
DEFENSE
Defensive End
1. Chris Long, DE, Virginia
2. Derrick Harvey, DE, Florida
3. Jason Jones, DE, Eastern Michigan
4. Vernon Gholston, DE, Ohio State
5. Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson
6. Cliff Avril, DE, Purdue
7. Jeremy Thompson, DE, Wake Forest
8. Calais Campbell, DE, Miami
9. Chris Ellis, DE, Virginia Tech
10. Lawrence Jackson, DE, USC
11. Kendall Langford, DE, Hampton
12. Darrell Robertson, DE, Georgia Tech
13. Eric Foster, DE, Rutgers
14. Xavier Mitchell, DE, Tennessee
15. Titus Brown, DE, Mississippi State
16. Wallace Gilberry, DE, Alabama
17. Rob Jackson, DE, Kansas State
18. Kenny Iwebema, DE, Iowa
19. Marcus Dixon, DT, Hampton
20. Angelo Craig, DE, Cincinnati
Defensive Tackle
1. Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
2. Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU
3. Kentwan Balmer, DT, North Carolina
4. Trevor Laws, DT, Notre Dame
5. Marcus Harrison, DT, Arkansas
6. Ahtyba Rubin, DT, Iowa State
7. Pat Sims, DT, Auburn
8. DeMario Pressley, DT, North Carolina State
9. Andre Fluellen, DT, Florida State
10. Dre Moore, DT, Maryland
11. Red Bryant, DT, Texas A&M
12. Lorenzo Williams, DT, Missouri
13. Frank Morton, DT, Tulane
14. Nick Hayden, DT, Wisconsin
15. Frank Okam, DT, Texas
16. Letroy Guion, DT, Florida State
17. Jason Shirley, DT, Fresno State
18. George Chukwu, DT, Rice
19. Josh Thompson, DT, Auburn
20. Maurice Murray, DT, New Mexico St
Outside Linebacker
1. Keith Rivers, LB, USC
2. Xavier Adibi, LB, Virginia Tech
3. Dan Connor, LB, Penn State
4. Erin Henderson, LB, Maryland
5. Marcus Howard, DE, Georgia
6. Shawn Crable, DE, Michigan
7. Jordon Dizon, LB, Colorado
8. Ali Highsmith, LB, LSU
9. Ezra Butler, LB, Nevada
10. Bruce Davis, DE, UCLA
11. Quentin Groves, DE, Auburn
12. Tavares Gooden, LB, Miami
13. Gary Guyton, LB, Georgia Tech
14. Wesley Woodyard, LB, Kentucky
15. Stanford Kegler, LB, Purdue
16. Chase Ortiz, DE, TCU
17. Steven Octavien, OLB, Nebraska
18. Vince Redd, DE, Liberty
19. Robert Killebrew, LB, Texas
20. Jameel McClain, DE, Syracuse
21. Geno Hayes, LB, Florida State
22. Brian Kehl, LB, BYU
Middle Linebacker
1. Curtis Lofton, LB, Oklahoma
2. Jerod Mayo, LB, Tennessee
3. Jonathan Goff, LB, Vanderbilt
4. Spencer Larsen, LB, Arizona
5. Phillip Wheeler, LB, Georgia Tech
6. Jolonn Dunbar, LB, Boston College
7. Rodrick Johnson, LB, Oklahoma State
8. Danny Lansanah, LB, Connecticut
9. Vince Hall, LB, Virginia Tech
10. Beau Bell, LB, UNLV
11. Ben Moffitt, LB, South Florida
12. Anthony Hoke, LB, Cincinnati
13. J Leman, LB, Illinois
14. Joe Mays, LB, North Dakota State
15. Steve Allen, LB, West Texas A&M
Cornerback
1. Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy
2. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee State
3. Branden Flowers, CB, Virginia Tech
4. Tracy Porter, CB, Indiana
5. Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida
6. Patrick Lee, CB, Auburn
7. Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas
8. Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
9. Charles Godfrey, CB, Iowa
10. Justin King, CB, Penn State
11. Antwaun Molden, CB, Eastern Kentucky
12. Trae Williams, CB, South Florida
13. Dwight Lowery, CB, San Jose State
14. Jonathan Wilhite, CB, Auburn
15. Zach Bowman, CB, Nebraska
16. Tyvon Branch, CB, Connecticut
17. Chevis Jackson, CB, LSU
18. Justin Tryon, CB, Arizona State
19. Rodney Van, CB, UCLA
20. Jack Ikegwuonu, CB, Wisconsin
21. Terrance Wheatley, CB, Colorado
22. Trey Brown, CB, UCLA
23. Michael Hinton, CB, Mankato State
24. Darnell Terrell, CB, Missouri
25. Marcus Walker, CB, Oklahoma
Safety
1. Josh Barrett, SS, Arizona State
2. Kenny Phillips, SS, Miami
3. Reggie Smith, CB, Oklahoma
4. Terrell Thomas, CB, USC
5. Thomas DeCoud, FS, California
6. Tyrell Johnson, SS, Arkansas State
7. David Roach, SS, TCU
8. Tom Zbikowski, SS, Notre Dame
9. Jamar Adams, SS, Michigan
10. Marcus Griffin, FS, Texas
11. Dominique Barber, FS, Minnesota
12. DaJuan Morgan, FS, North Carolina State
13. Jamie Silva, SS, Boston College
14. Caleb Campbell, SS, Army
15. Quintin Demps, SS, UTEP
16. D.J. Parker, FS, Virginia Tech
17. Simeon Castille, CB, Alabama
18. Jonathan Hefney, CB, Tennessee
19. Michael Grant, FS, Arkansas
20. Craig Steltz, SS, LSU
Sunday, February 24, 2008
Round Up
NFL Stats takes a look at 2007 FG Kicker Rankings. Last year, NFL Stats ranked the FG kicking for the 2003-2006 seasons.
Draft Daddy has the inside scoop on the news and rumors coming from inside the NFL Combine.
Football Outsiders' Doug Farrar has a nice series of Combine Reports with a more intimate feel to them.
FF LiveWire is one of the quickest sites to update with the height and weight info from the NFL Combine weigh ins, as well as the drill results. TFY Draft also has frequent updates on the results and practice notes.
Pro-football-reference takes a look at running backs and the Body Mass Index, and what that might mean for this year's top draft prospects.
Draft Daddy has the inside scoop on the news and rumors coming from inside the NFL Combine.
Football Outsiders' Doug Farrar has a nice series of Combine Reports with a more intimate feel to them.
FF LiveWire is one of the quickest sites to update with the height and weight info from the NFL Combine weigh ins, as well as the drill results. TFY Draft also has frequent updates on the results and practice notes.
Pro-football-reference takes a look at running backs and the Body Mass Index, and what that might mean for this year's top draft prospects.
Saturday, February 23, 2008
Team Needs: Indianapolis Colts
1. Guard
Last year's starter at right guard Jake Scott is a free agent. Even if the Colts go ahead and re-sign Scott, they should still look to add depth as far as the interior line is concerned, especially with backup guard/center Dylan Gandy (currently a restricted free agent) likely to be playing on a one-year deal.
2. Defensive End
Starters Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis were lost to inuries last season, which exposed a complete lack of depth at the position.
3. Kicker
The Colts give up a lot of hidden yardage in their kicking game, and although poor coverage is an issue, Adam Vinatieri's poor kickoffs are as much the culprit. And contrary to popular belief, Vinatieri doesn't make up for it with field goal accuracy.
4. Wide Receiver
This is another position where the "need" is mainly for depth purposes. Yes, Marvin Harrison is nearing the end of career, but the Colts helped take care of that by drafting Anthony Gonzalez last year. And of course they still have Reggie Wayne, while the recently re-signed Dallas Clark lines up predominantly as a slot receiver rather than as a tight end.
5. Kick Returner
All the blame for the Colts league-worst special teams can't be placed on Adam Vinatieri and the coverage units. The Colts ranked 21st in the league in kickoff return average and need to add a consistent threat in the return game.
6. Linebacker
Gary Brackett had a great year in the middle, while Freddy Keiaho continued to improve on the weak side. Strong-side backer Rob Morris will be back from injury, and Tyjuan Hagler will be back as his backup. However, the other reserve who saw plenty of action, Rocky Boiman, could leave as a free agent. So once again depth needs to be added.
7. Quarterback
With Peyton Manning nearing his thirty-second birthday, isn't it about time the Colts upgraded his backup in case of injury?
8. Running Back
Running back is a fragile position; and although the Colts seemed to have found Joseph Addai's backup in former Canadian football leaguer Kenton Keith, they can look to bolster their depth at this spot as well.
Last year's starter at right guard Jake Scott is a free agent. Even if the Colts go ahead and re-sign Scott, they should still look to add depth as far as the interior line is concerned, especially with backup guard/center Dylan Gandy (currently a restricted free agent) likely to be playing on a one-year deal.
2. Defensive End
Starters Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis were lost to inuries last season, which exposed a complete lack of depth at the position.
3. Kicker
The Colts give up a lot of hidden yardage in their kicking game, and although poor coverage is an issue, Adam Vinatieri's poor kickoffs are as much the culprit. And contrary to popular belief, Vinatieri doesn't make up for it with field goal accuracy.
4. Wide Receiver
This is another position where the "need" is mainly for depth purposes. Yes, Marvin Harrison is nearing the end of career, but the Colts helped take care of that by drafting Anthony Gonzalez last year. And of course they still have Reggie Wayne, while the recently re-signed Dallas Clark lines up predominantly as a slot receiver rather than as a tight end.
5. Kick Returner
All the blame for the Colts league-worst special teams can't be placed on Adam Vinatieri and the coverage units. The Colts ranked 21st in the league in kickoff return average and need to add a consistent threat in the return game.
6. Linebacker
Gary Brackett had a great year in the middle, while Freddy Keiaho continued to improve on the weak side. Strong-side backer Rob Morris will be back from injury, and Tyjuan Hagler will be back as his backup. However, the other reserve who saw plenty of action, Rocky Boiman, could leave as a free agent. So once again depth needs to be added.
7. Quarterback
With Peyton Manning nearing his thirty-second birthday, isn't it about time the Colts upgraded his backup in case of injury?
8. Running Back
Running back is a fragile position; and although the Colts seemed to have found Joseph Addai's backup in former Canadian football leaguer Kenton Keith, they can look to bolster their depth at this spot as well.
Tuesday, February 19, 2008
2008 NFL Mock Draft
ROUND ONE
1. Miami Dolphins
Chris Long, DE, Virginia
Playing for Al Groh at Virginia as well as he did, and being the son of a Hall-of-Famer, makes Chris Long a "Parcells guy" by association. The only question is if he's as big as listed, and hence, if has the size to hold up in the two-gap defensive scheme the Dolphins will be installing. If that's not the case, then the question becomes does he have the athleticism to be a 3-4 linebacker, or is he purely a 4-3 end at the next level.
2. St. Louis Rams
Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU
La'Roi Glover will turn 34 in July. And 2006 third-rounder Claude Wroten hasn't yet shown that he can step in and be a quality starter. Dorsey would immediately improve the Rams front four and possibly allow 2007 first-rounder Adam Carriker to move to left defensive end.
3. Oakland Raiders
Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
The Raiders must get better along the defensive line, especially at tackle. Warren Sapp's retirement leaves Oakland with Terdell Sands, who couldn't keep his starting job last year, and the ever inconsistent Gerard Warren. Tyler Brayton is a free agent coming off of his poorest season. And the best of the bunch, Tommy Kelly, is a free agent coming off of an ACL injury.
4. Atlanta Falcons
Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
The Falcons best quarterback in 2007 was Chris Redman, who happens to be a free agent. Byron Leftwich was recently released (good move), and Joey Harrington is a $2.5 million backup. Yes, the Falcons have many needs, but perhaps none bigger than the most important position in the game.
5. Kansas City Chiefs
Jake Long, OT, Michigan
The Kansas City offensive line needs serious help. If this is the way the board falls, then this pick should be a no-brainer. Long should be able to step in and play left tackle the way Cleveland's 2007 first-rounder Joe Thomas did and San Diego's 2006 second-round Marcus McNeil did. That would allow Damion McIntosh to move to either right tackle or guard where he would be better suited.
6. New York Jets
Vernon Gholston, DE/OLB, Ohio St.
The Jets re-signed pass rusher Bryan Thomas after a career-year in 2006; the result: a lackluster performance similar to his first four seasons. They need to get more pressure and adding Gholston will help accomplish that.
7. New England Patriots (from San Francisco 49ers)
Derrick Harvey, DE/OLB, Florida
By the time next season gets rolling along, the Pats linebacking corps will be really old. OLBs Mike Vrabel and Rosevelt Colvin will be 33 and 31 respectively. ILBs Tedy Bruschi and Junior Seau will be 35 and 39! Even heralded free-agent signing Adalius Thomas will be 31. Since the Pats defense looked better with Thomas at ILB, acquiring an OLB should probably be the higher priority.
8. Baltimore Ravens
Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
Either Steve McNair or Kyle Boller will be back next year, but probably not both. Troy Smith's future with the Ravens is almost certainly as a backup.
9. Cincinnati Bengals
Keith Rivers, OLB, USC
With the top defensive line prospects off the board, the Bengals select the best defensive player available. The Bengals linebackers played woefully last year, though a lot of that can be attributed to losing their starters (as well as a couple of backups) to injuries.
10. New Orleans Saints
Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy
Mike McKenzie is coming off an injury. Jason David was an awful free agency signing, looking a lot like Fred Thomas in 2006 only somehow playing even worse. 2007 third-rounder Usama Young has some upside and could be a starter, but with the top front-7 guys off the board, the Saints have to get a potential starter.
11. Buffalo Bills
Malcolm Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
The Bills simply aren't going to compete in the AFC by scoring—as they did in 2007—15.8 points per game. They must add more weapons to the offense.
12. Denver Broncos
Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
Although selecting a running back this high might be uncharacteristic of the Broncos, McFadden is too big of a talent to pass up. Denver's one-cut system would be a perfect fit for him, and McFadden wouldn't squawk at sharing some of the load with Selvin Young.
13. Carolina Panthers
Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State
The Panthers need to rebuild their offensive line to help keep Jake Delhomme healthy and Matt Moore on the sidelines for another season or two, where he can be brought along slowly the way Tony Romo was in Dallas.
14. Chicago Bears
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
It's time to admit that Cedric Benson was a bust and move on. As much as the Bears need improvement at QB, Mendenhall is the kind of elite runner who is actually worth a first-round pick: the kind of back whose presence can help the passing game by making the defense play eight in the box.
15. Detroit Lions
Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
Williams would allow the Lions to finally move Jeff Backus to the right side where he would be a better fit.
16. Arizona Cardinals
Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
Stewart is another prospect I don't have rated as high as many others do. Still, I can't help imaging Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt imaging Stewart bringing a power running game to Arizona the way Jerome Bettis brought it in Pittsburgh.
17. Minnesota Vikings
Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson
The Vikings pass rush improved last year from a 4.6% adjusted sack rate in 2006 (ranked 31st) all the way up to a 5.5% adjusted sack rate (ranked 28th). Yeah, that's not going to cut it. I'm still tempted to sneak Jason Jones in here as I did in my first mock of the year (and a few subsequent ones), but conventional wisdom still says that's too big of a reach.
18. Houston Texans
Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida
New offensive line coach Alex Gibbs prefers to select lower round linemen and coach them up, so it seems highly unlikely the Texans will use their first round choice on a left tackle. Instead, they should turn to the other side of the ball. Coming off his knee injury, Dunta Robinson could miss significant time in 2008. If the Texans want to compete, they will have to select someone who can help their secondary immediately.
19. Philadelphia Eagles
Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh
Both starting tackles, Jon Runyan and Tre Thomas, are hitting their mid-thirites and entering the last year of their respective contracts. 2006 second rounder Winston Justice hasn't performed well when given the chance.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DeSean Jackson, WR, California
Joey Galloway is 36. It's time the Bucs brought in a young WR who can stretch the field.
21. Washington Redskins
Calais Campbell, DE, Miami
Redskins look to improve their pass rush and get younger on the defensive line. Campbell has the size to be a perfect complement to undersized right end Andre Carter.
22. Dallas Cowboys (from Cleveland Browns)
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee State
If Dallas head coach Wade Phillips had time to watch his old team the Chargers last year, he probably found himself wishing he had cornerback Antonio Cromartie with him in Big D. Well, he can't have Antonio, but if the board falls this way he can have Antonio's cousin, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, destined to be known simply as DRC.
23. Pittsburgh Steelers
Kentwan Balmer, DT/DE, North Carolina
Although the offensive line might be their biggest area of need, the Steelers also need to get younger on the defensive line. Balmer checked in at 6'4.5" and 308 lbs.—prototypical size for a 3-4 DE.
24. Tennessee Titans
Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan
I'm not sold on Vince Young, but if he’s going to succeed, the Titans must surround him with more weapons. Although given to lapses in concentration, Manningham is arguably the “playmakingest” receiver in this year's draft.
25. Seattle Seahawks
Sam Baker, OT/G, USC
Running back would have to be a strong consideration here as well, but the offensive line didn't play very well last year and is going to require a major infusion of talent this off season, meaning a free agent or two, in addition to a couple of draft picks. At the Senior Bowl, Baker's arms measured shorter than is hoped for by NFL scouts, but he performed well all week. Seattle general manager Tim Ruskell won't shy away from picking a player because of measurables, e.g. 2005 fifth-rounder Lofa Tatupu, who many thought was a huge reach and blunder. With all of the top tackles off the board, Virginia guard Branden Albert could also be a possibility.
26. San Diego Chargers
Gosder Cherilus, OT, Boston College
With the improvement of WR Vincent Jackson, the arrival of Chris Chambers (who played better than he had in years), and the emergence of All-Pro CB Antonio Cromartie, the Chargers have one of the most talented rosters in the league. It's a good thing, too, because they don't have many draft picks. Ideally, they would trade down to help build depth, but if they can't do that, Cherilus would make sense as a guy to be groomed as the eventual starting right tackle.
27. Jacksonville Jaguars
Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
2004 first-rounder Reggie Williams had his best season, and proved to be a red zone weapon, as he put up 10 TDs, but he's still not a number one receiver. Ernest Wilford is a solid possession receiver, but he's a free agent and not likely to return. 2005 first-rounder Matt Jones does little more than catch jump balls. Dennis Northcutt is neither a number one nor number two receiver, and is questionable as a three. Short version: the Jags need lots of help at the receiver spot.
28. Dallas Cowboys
Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
Felix Jones' speed would be a fine complement to Marion Barber III's crash-and-romp running style. In addition, Jones could help improve the consistency of the kick returns.
29. Green Bay Packers
Tracy Porter, CB, Indiana
Arguably the best pure man-to-man cover guy in the draft, Porter would be a perfect fit for the Packer defense. He could step in and immediately challenge to be the nickel back. After a year or two in the NFL, he should be able to step up and replace Al Harris or Charles Woodson.
30. San Francisco 49ers (from Indianapolis Colts)
Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan State
Darrell Jackson looked worse in San Fran than he did in Seattle, and given all of the struggles had had in the Emerald City, that's a far cry from a good thing. Arnaz Battle is little more than steady, while Ashley Lelie barely resembles a pro wide out anymore.
31. New York Giants
Dan Connor, OLB, Penn State
Kawika Mitchell played better as the season wore on, but he will be a free agent. 2006 third-rounder Gerris Wilkinson showed flashes in relief of Mitchell, but is not to be counted on as a starter. Mathias Kiwanuka's conversion from defensive end had its moments, but he should be returned to the rotation along the line. All of which points to the Giants needing a linebacker with their first pick.
ROUND TWO
32. Miami Dolphins
Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware
33. St. Louis Rams
Xavier Adibi, OLB, Virginia Tech
34. Atlanta Falcons
Curtis Lofton, MLB, Oklahoma
35. Kansas City Chiefs
Branden Flowers, CB, Virginia Tech
36. New York Jets
Branden Albert, G, Virginia
37. Oakland Raiders
Lavelle Hawkins, WR, California
38. Baltimore Ravens
Earl Bennett, WR, Vanderbilt
39. San Francisco 49ers
Andre Caldwell, WR, Florida
40. New Orleans Saints
John Carlson, TE, Notre Dame
41. Buffalo Bills
Erin Henderson, LB, Maryland
42. Denver Broncos
Kenny Phillips, S, Miami
43. Carolina Panthers
Pat Sims, DT, Auburn
44. Chicago Bears
Chad Henne, QB, Michigan
45. Detroit Lions
Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas
46. Cincinnati Bengals
Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas
47. Minnesota Vikings
James Hardy, WR, Indiana
48. Atlanta Falcons (from Houston Texans)
Early Doucet, WR, LSU
49. Philadelphia Eagles
Adarius Bowman, WR, Oklahoma State
50. Arizona Cardinals
Jason Jones, DE, Eastern Michigan
51. Washington Redskins
Patrick Lee, CB, Auburn
52. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DeMario Pressley, DT, North Carolina State
53. Pittsburgh Steelers
Cliff Avril, DE/OLB, Purdue
54. Tennessee Titans
Ray Rice, RB, Rutgers
55. Seattle Seahawks
Fred Davis, TE, USC
56. Cleveland Browns
Matt Forté, RB, Tulane
57. Miami Dolphins (from San Diego Chargers)
Phillip Wheeler, LB, Georgia Tech
58. Jacksonville Jaguars
Reggie Smith, DB, Oklahoma
59. Indianapolis Colts
Anthony Collins, OT, Kansas
60. Green Bay Packers
Kellen Davis, TE, Michigan State
61. Dallas Cowboys
Duane Brown, OT, Virginia Tech
62. New York Giants
Charles Godfrey, CB, Iowa
63. New England Patriots
Jonathan Goff, ILB, Vanderbilt
1. Miami Dolphins
Chris Long, DE, Virginia
Playing for Al Groh at Virginia as well as he did, and being the son of a Hall-of-Famer, makes Chris Long a "Parcells guy" by association. The only question is if he's as big as listed, and hence, if has the size to hold up in the two-gap defensive scheme the Dolphins will be installing. If that's not the case, then the question becomes does he have the athleticism to be a 3-4 linebacker, or is he purely a 4-3 end at the next level.
2. St. Louis Rams
Glenn Dorsey, DT, LSU
La'Roi Glover will turn 34 in July. And 2006 third-rounder Claude Wroten hasn't yet shown that he can step in and be a quality starter. Dorsey would immediately improve the Rams front four and possibly allow 2007 first-rounder Adam Carriker to move to left defensive end.
3. Oakland Raiders
Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
The Raiders must get better along the defensive line, especially at tackle. Warren Sapp's retirement leaves Oakland with Terdell Sands, who couldn't keep his starting job last year, and the ever inconsistent Gerard Warren. Tyler Brayton is a free agent coming off of his poorest season. And the best of the bunch, Tommy Kelly, is a free agent coming off of an ACL injury.
4. Atlanta Falcons
Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
The Falcons best quarterback in 2007 was Chris Redman, who happens to be a free agent. Byron Leftwich was recently released (good move), and Joey Harrington is a $2.5 million backup. Yes, the Falcons have many needs, but perhaps none bigger than the most important position in the game.
5. Kansas City Chiefs
Jake Long, OT, Michigan
The Kansas City offensive line needs serious help. If this is the way the board falls, then this pick should be a no-brainer. Long should be able to step in and play left tackle the way Cleveland's 2007 first-rounder Joe Thomas did and San Diego's 2006 second-round Marcus McNeil did. That would allow Damion McIntosh to move to either right tackle or guard where he would be better suited.
6. New York Jets
Vernon Gholston, DE/OLB, Ohio St.
The Jets re-signed pass rusher Bryan Thomas after a career-year in 2006; the result: a lackluster performance similar to his first four seasons. They need to get more pressure and adding Gholston will help accomplish that.
7. New England Patriots (from San Francisco 49ers)
Derrick Harvey, DE/OLB, Florida
By the time next season gets rolling along, the Pats linebacking corps will be really old. OLBs Mike Vrabel and Rosevelt Colvin will be 33 and 31 respectively. ILBs Tedy Bruschi and Junior Seau will be 35 and 39! Even heralded free-agent signing Adalius Thomas will be 31. Since the Pats defense looked better with Thomas at ILB, acquiring an OLB should probably be the higher priority.
8. Baltimore Ravens
Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
Either Steve McNair or Kyle Boller will be back next year, but probably not both. Troy Smith's future with the Ravens is almost certainly as a backup.
9. Cincinnati Bengals
Keith Rivers, OLB, USC
With the top defensive line prospects off the board, the Bengals select the best defensive player available. The Bengals linebackers played woefully last year, though a lot of that can be attributed to losing their starters (as well as a couple of backups) to injuries.
10. New Orleans Saints
Leodis McKelvin, CB, Troy
Mike McKenzie is coming off an injury. Jason David was an awful free agency signing, looking a lot like Fred Thomas in 2006 only somehow playing even worse. 2007 third-rounder Usama Young has some upside and could be a starter, but with the top front-7 guys off the board, the Saints have to get a potential starter.
11. Buffalo Bills
Malcolm Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
The Bills simply aren't going to compete in the AFC by scoring—as they did in 2007—15.8 points per game. They must add more weapons to the offense.
12. Denver Broncos
Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
Although selecting a running back this high might be uncharacteristic of the Broncos, McFadden is too big of a talent to pass up. Denver's one-cut system would be a perfect fit for him, and McFadden wouldn't squawk at sharing some of the load with Selvin Young.
13. Carolina Panthers
Ryan Clady, OT, Boise State
The Panthers need to rebuild their offensive line to help keep Jake Delhomme healthy and Matt Moore on the sidelines for another season or two, where he can be brought along slowly the way Tony Romo was in Dallas.
14. Chicago Bears
Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois
It's time to admit that Cedric Benson was a bust and move on. As much as the Bears need improvement at QB, Mendenhall is the kind of elite runner who is actually worth a first-round pick: the kind of back whose presence can help the passing game by making the defense play eight in the box.
15. Detroit Lions
Chris Williams, OT, Vanderbilt
Williams would allow the Lions to finally move Jeff Backus to the right side where he would be a better fit.
16. Arizona Cardinals
Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
Stewart is another prospect I don't have rated as high as many others do. Still, I can't help imaging Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt imaging Stewart bringing a power running game to Arizona the way Jerome Bettis brought it in Pittsburgh.
17. Minnesota Vikings
Phillip Merling, DE, Clemson
The Vikings pass rush improved last year from a 4.6% adjusted sack rate in 2006 (ranked 31st) all the way up to a 5.5% adjusted sack rate (ranked 28th). Yeah, that's not going to cut it. I'm still tempted to sneak Jason Jones in here as I did in my first mock of the year (and a few subsequent ones), but conventional wisdom still says that's too big of a reach.
18. Houston Texans
Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida
New offensive line coach Alex Gibbs prefers to select lower round linemen and coach them up, so it seems highly unlikely the Texans will use their first round choice on a left tackle. Instead, they should turn to the other side of the ball. Coming off his knee injury, Dunta Robinson could miss significant time in 2008. If the Texans want to compete, they will have to select someone who can help their secondary immediately.
19. Philadelphia Eagles
Jeff Otah, OT, Pittsburgh
Both starting tackles, Jon Runyan and Tre Thomas, are hitting their mid-thirites and entering the last year of their respective contracts. 2006 second rounder Winston Justice hasn't performed well when given the chance.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DeSean Jackson, WR, California
Joey Galloway is 36. It's time the Bucs brought in a young WR who can stretch the field.
21. Washington Redskins
Calais Campbell, DE, Miami
Redskins look to improve their pass rush and get younger on the defensive line. Campbell has the size to be a perfect complement to undersized right end Andre Carter.
22. Dallas Cowboys (from Cleveland Browns)
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, CB, Tennessee State
If Dallas head coach Wade Phillips had time to watch his old team the Chargers last year, he probably found himself wishing he had cornerback Antonio Cromartie with him in Big D. Well, he can't have Antonio, but if the board falls this way he can have Antonio's cousin, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, destined to be known simply as DRC.
23. Pittsburgh Steelers
Kentwan Balmer, DT/DE, North Carolina
Although the offensive line might be their biggest area of need, the Steelers also need to get younger on the defensive line. Balmer checked in at 6'4.5" and 308 lbs.—prototypical size for a 3-4 DE.
24. Tennessee Titans
Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan
I'm not sold on Vince Young, but if he’s going to succeed, the Titans must surround him with more weapons. Although given to lapses in concentration, Manningham is arguably the “playmakingest” receiver in this year's draft.
25. Seattle Seahawks
Sam Baker, OT/G, USC
Running back would have to be a strong consideration here as well, but the offensive line didn't play very well last year and is going to require a major infusion of talent this off season, meaning a free agent or two, in addition to a couple of draft picks. At the Senior Bowl, Baker's arms measured shorter than is hoped for by NFL scouts, but he performed well all week. Seattle general manager Tim Ruskell won't shy away from picking a player because of measurables, e.g. 2005 fifth-rounder Lofa Tatupu, who many thought was a huge reach and blunder. With all of the top tackles off the board, Virginia guard Branden Albert could also be a possibility.
26. San Diego Chargers
Gosder Cherilus, OT, Boston College
With the improvement of WR Vincent Jackson, the arrival of Chris Chambers (who played better than he had in years), and the emergence of All-Pro CB Antonio Cromartie, the Chargers have one of the most talented rosters in the league. It's a good thing, too, because they don't have many draft picks. Ideally, they would trade down to help build depth, but if they can't do that, Cherilus would make sense as a guy to be groomed as the eventual starting right tackle.
27. Jacksonville Jaguars
Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
2004 first-rounder Reggie Williams had his best season, and proved to be a red zone weapon, as he put up 10 TDs, but he's still not a number one receiver. Ernest Wilford is a solid possession receiver, but he's a free agent and not likely to return. 2005 first-rounder Matt Jones does little more than catch jump balls. Dennis Northcutt is neither a number one nor number two receiver, and is questionable as a three. Short version: the Jags need lots of help at the receiver spot.
28. Dallas Cowboys
Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
Felix Jones' speed would be a fine complement to Marion Barber III's crash-and-romp running style. In addition, Jones could help improve the consistency of the kick returns.
29. Green Bay Packers
Tracy Porter, CB, Indiana
Arguably the best pure man-to-man cover guy in the draft, Porter would be a perfect fit for the Packer defense. He could step in and immediately challenge to be the nickel back. After a year or two in the NFL, he should be able to step up and replace Al Harris or Charles Woodson.
30. San Francisco 49ers (from Indianapolis Colts)
Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan State
Darrell Jackson looked worse in San Fran than he did in Seattle, and given all of the struggles had had in the Emerald City, that's a far cry from a good thing. Arnaz Battle is little more than steady, while Ashley Lelie barely resembles a pro wide out anymore.
31. New York Giants
Dan Connor, OLB, Penn State
Kawika Mitchell played better as the season wore on, but he will be a free agent. 2006 third-rounder Gerris Wilkinson showed flashes in relief of Mitchell, but is not to be counted on as a starter. Mathias Kiwanuka's conversion from defensive end had its moments, but he should be returned to the rotation along the line. All of which points to the Giants needing a linebacker with their first pick.
ROUND TWO
32. Miami Dolphins
Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware
33. St. Louis Rams
Xavier Adibi, OLB, Virginia Tech
34. Atlanta Falcons
Curtis Lofton, MLB, Oklahoma
35. Kansas City Chiefs
Branden Flowers, CB, Virginia Tech
36. New York Jets
Branden Albert, G, Virginia
37. Oakland Raiders
Lavelle Hawkins, WR, California
38. Baltimore Ravens
Earl Bennett, WR, Vanderbilt
39. San Francisco 49ers
Andre Caldwell, WR, Florida
40. New Orleans Saints
John Carlson, TE, Notre Dame
41. Buffalo Bills
Erin Henderson, LB, Maryland
42. Denver Broncos
Kenny Phillips, S, Miami
43. Carolina Panthers
Pat Sims, DT, Auburn
44. Chicago Bears
Chad Henne, QB, Michigan
45. Detroit Lions
Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas
46. Cincinnati Bengals
Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas
47. Minnesota Vikings
James Hardy, WR, Indiana
48. Atlanta Falcons (from Houston Texans)
Early Doucet, WR, LSU
49. Philadelphia Eagles
Adarius Bowman, WR, Oklahoma State
50. Arizona Cardinals
Jason Jones, DE, Eastern Michigan
51. Washington Redskins
Patrick Lee, CB, Auburn
52. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
DeMario Pressley, DT, North Carolina State
53. Pittsburgh Steelers
Cliff Avril, DE/OLB, Purdue
54. Tennessee Titans
Ray Rice, RB, Rutgers
55. Seattle Seahawks
Fred Davis, TE, USC
56. Cleveland Browns
Matt Forté, RB, Tulane
57. Miami Dolphins (from San Diego Chargers)
Phillip Wheeler, LB, Georgia Tech
58. Jacksonville Jaguars
Reggie Smith, DB, Oklahoma
59. Indianapolis Colts
Anthony Collins, OT, Kansas
60. Green Bay Packers
Kellen Davis, TE, Michigan State
61. Dallas Cowboys
Duane Brown, OT, Virginia Tech
62. New York Giants
Charles Godfrey, CB, Iowa
63. New England Patriots
Jonathan Goff, ILB, Vanderbilt
Monday, February 18, 2008
Team Needs: Detroit Lions
1. Defensive Tackle
Shaun Rogers still has All-Pro talent, but he has an all-world gut that seems to contribute to his inconsistent play as he wore down during games and over the course of the season. After early reports had the Lions ready to release or trade him rather than pay out a $1 million roster bonus due in March, the word now is that Detroit is content to keep him. Either way, young talent needs to be brought in at both tackle spots. Cory Redding regressed after adjusting nicely from end to tackle in 2006. Restricted free agent Langston Moore is a career backup, while 2005 second-rounder Shaun Cody has been a bust.
2. Offensive Tackle
Jeff Backus has started all of the Lions' 112 games since he was taken with the 18th overall selection in the 2001 draft, but he has never met expectations. While occasionally attaining the level of adequate (he ranked 10th in 2005 according to Yakuza Rich's statistical metric, he has more often played barely well enough (20th by YR in 2006 and 19th in 2007) to keep his job (although having Matt Millen as GM has probably helped there as well). The Lions should consider moving Backus to right tackle where the recently acquired George Foster lost the job, first to 2006 fifth-rounder Jonathan Scott and then, when Scott was placed on IR, to guard Damien Woody.
3. Middle Linebacker
Paris Lenon lacks the athleticism to be a quality starter at MLB in the Tampa Two and should be shifted to the strongside where Boss Bailey is expected to leave via free agency. Former starter Teddy Lehman hasn't played well since struggling with injuries in 05 and 06 and is also a free agent.
4. Cornerback
When healthy, Fernando Bryant is an average cornerback. That might not seem like anything to get excited about, but it's leaps and bounds better than the rest of the Detroit secondary. Bryant will turn 31 in March and some rumors have him contemplating retirement. After playing very well in 2006, Stanley Wilson was named the starter for 2007. But he performed terribly and was benched five games into the season. He's a free agent and all but gone. Rams castoff Travis Fisher was brought in on a one-year deal and wound up starting 13 games. As KC Joyner wrote entering the season: “Fisher had the worst [Yards Per Attempt] of any cornerback in 2005. He followed this up with the third worst YPA in 2006. He also had the 2nd worst success percentage.” Backup Keith Smith is another free agent.
5. Defensive End
Dewayne White was a decent free agent signing at a position of need last year in a weak market, but he's limited as an every down player. Kalimba Edwards signed a five-year, $20 million contract extension with $8 million in guarantees not too long ago, but after a 2007 season that saw him inactive down the stretch, he's expected to be released. Last year's second round pick Ikaika Alama-Francis is not a prospect I was high on, but it was expected he would be raw and take time to develop, so it's a bit early to make a call on him just yet. If the Lions stand pat, Alama-Francis should contend with Jared DeVries for the starting spot opposite White.
6. Tight end
Dan Campbell has struggled with injuries in Detroit, but he's a solid vet who would be worth the $1.8 million he's due in 2008 if he can stay healthy and help mentor a young draft pick. Sean McHugh made some plays on the few occasions when he was given a chance. He's not going to set the field on fire, but he's a restricted free agent worth brining back for depth.
7. Running back
Kevin Jones, who looked so promising as a rookie, has had his carrer derailed by injuries so far. This time he'll be returning from a torn ACL. Tatum Bell's talent was overstated when he was in Denver and after only playing five games in Detroit he's a free agent who won't be missed. T.J. Duckett is also a free agent. He produced 5.2 yards per carry but was underutilized by Mike Martz. The Lions should try to re-sign him. 2006 third-rounder Brian Calhoun hasn't shown much and can't be counted on to be the future here if Jones continues to struggle with injuries.
8. Guard
Edwin Mulitalo and Stephen Peterman are pencilled in as the starters and both could stand to be upgraded, especially Peterman, who is backup quality. The Lions might be OK here already, as they have some competition on the roster in 2006 undrafted free agent Frank Davis and 2007 fourth-rounder Manny Ramirez. Damien Woody waited till the last year of his contract to finally show up for the Lions and now he's a free agent again and looking for another team to sucker. If the Lions can't find a legit starter to bring in, they might have to settle for what they have and hope the young guys continue to improve.
9. Fullback
This is about as deep a draft for fullbacks as we'll see these days. I know it's an endangered position in today's NFL, but the Lions are nuts if they don't go after a more versatile upgrade over converted defensive tackle Jon Bradley.
10. Quarterback
Jon Kitna's fine for the short term. The Lions can win with him if only they could fill their many other needs. New quarterback coach Scot Loeffler will try to bring along 2007 second-rounder Drew Stanton and 2005 fifth-rounder Dan Orlovsky. I wasn't high on either of them as prospects, so if I were in Matt Millen's shoes I wouldn't be content with those two as my developmental guys, but he's the GM and I'm just a lowly blogger.
Shaun Rogers still has All-Pro talent, but he has an all-world gut that seems to contribute to his inconsistent play as he wore down during games and over the course of the season. After early reports had the Lions ready to release or trade him rather than pay out a $1 million roster bonus due in March, the word now is that Detroit is content to keep him. Either way, young talent needs to be brought in at both tackle spots. Cory Redding regressed after adjusting nicely from end to tackle in 2006. Restricted free agent Langston Moore is a career backup, while 2005 second-rounder Shaun Cody has been a bust.
2. Offensive Tackle
Jeff Backus has started all of the Lions' 112 games since he was taken with the 18th overall selection in the 2001 draft, but he has never met expectations. While occasionally attaining the level of adequate (he ranked 10th in 2005 according to Yakuza Rich's statistical metric, he has more often played barely well enough (20th by YR in 2006 and 19th in 2007) to keep his job (although having Matt Millen as GM has probably helped there as well). The Lions should consider moving Backus to right tackle where the recently acquired George Foster lost the job, first to 2006 fifth-rounder Jonathan Scott and then, when Scott was placed on IR, to guard Damien Woody.
3. Middle Linebacker
Paris Lenon lacks the athleticism to be a quality starter at MLB in the Tampa Two and should be shifted to the strongside where Boss Bailey is expected to leave via free agency. Former starter Teddy Lehman hasn't played well since struggling with injuries in 05 and 06 and is also a free agent.
4. Cornerback
When healthy, Fernando Bryant is an average cornerback. That might not seem like anything to get excited about, but it's leaps and bounds better than the rest of the Detroit secondary. Bryant will turn 31 in March and some rumors have him contemplating retirement. After playing very well in 2006, Stanley Wilson was named the starter for 2007. But he performed terribly and was benched five games into the season. He's a free agent and all but gone. Rams castoff Travis Fisher was brought in on a one-year deal and wound up starting 13 games. As KC Joyner wrote entering the season: “Fisher had the worst [Yards Per Attempt] of any cornerback in 2005. He followed this up with the third worst YPA in 2006. He also had the 2nd worst success percentage.” Backup Keith Smith is another free agent.
5. Defensive End
Dewayne White was a decent free agent signing at a position of need last year in a weak market, but he's limited as an every down player. Kalimba Edwards signed a five-year, $20 million contract extension with $8 million in guarantees not too long ago, but after a 2007 season that saw him inactive down the stretch, he's expected to be released. Last year's second round pick Ikaika Alama-Francis is not a prospect I was high on, but it was expected he would be raw and take time to develop, so it's a bit early to make a call on him just yet. If the Lions stand pat, Alama-Francis should contend with Jared DeVries for the starting spot opposite White.
6. Tight end
Dan Campbell has struggled with injuries in Detroit, but he's a solid vet who would be worth the $1.8 million he's due in 2008 if he can stay healthy and help mentor a young draft pick. Sean McHugh made some plays on the few occasions when he was given a chance. He's not going to set the field on fire, but he's a restricted free agent worth brining back for depth.
7. Running back
Kevin Jones, who looked so promising as a rookie, has had his carrer derailed by injuries so far. This time he'll be returning from a torn ACL. Tatum Bell's talent was overstated when he was in Denver and after only playing five games in Detroit he's a free agent who won't be missed. T.J. Duckett is also a free agent. He produced 5.2 yards per carry but was underutilized by Mike Martz. The Lions should try to re-sign him. 2006 third-rounder Brian Calhoun hasn't shown much and can't be counted on to be the future here if Jones continues to struggle with injuries.
8. Guard
Edwin Mulitalo and Stephen Peterman are pencilled in as the starters and both could stand to be upgraded, especially Peterman, who is backup quality. The Lions might be OK here already, as they have some competition on the roster in 2006 undrafted free agent Frank Davis and 2007 fourth-rounder Manny Ramirez. Damien Woody waited till the last year of his contract to finally show up for the Lions and now he's a free agent again and looking for another team to sucker. If the Lions can't find a legit starter to bring in, they might have to settle for what they have and hope the young guys continue to improve.
9. Fullback
This is about as deep a draft for fullbacks as we'll see these days. I know it's an endangered position in today's NFL, but the Lions are nuts if they don't go after a more versatile upgrade over converted defensive tackle Jon Bradley.
10. Quarterback
Jon Kitna's fine for the short term. The Lions can win with him if only they could fill their many other needs. New quarterback coach Scot Loeffler will try to bring along 2007 second-rounder Drew Stanton and 2005 fifth-rounder Dan Orlovsky. I wasn't high on either of them as prospects, so if I were in Matt Millen's shoes I wouldn't be content with those two as my developmental guys, but he's the GM and I'm just a lowly blogger.
Sunday, February 17, 2008
Team Needs: Chicago Bears
1. Offensive Tackle
It won't matter who the Bears quarterback is if they can't protect him. Left tackle John Tait, 33, played adequately in 2007 but is clearly on the downside of his career and would benefit from a move to right tackle. Last year's starter at right tackle, Fred Miller, is 35, played poorly last year, and should be released, or at least asked to take a significant pay cut. Backup John St. Clair turns 30 this summer and hasn't played well when given the chance to start.
2. Quarterback
The struggles of Rex Grossman have been well documented. According to DPAR & DVOA, Grossman, Brian Griese, and Kyle Orton are basically triplets.
3. Wide Receiver
The best of the bunch, Bernard Berrian, is a free agent. Soon to turn 35, Muhsin Muhammad's career is winding down. Although part of it can be attributed to the poor quarterback play, the Bears didn't get the production they had hoped for when the signed Muhammad in 2005; they better not still be hoping for it. Rashied Davis failed to improve on the potential he showed in 2006, while 2005 second-rounder Mark Bradley had his most disappointing season in a career that has seen him catch only 38 passes.
4. Running Back
After three seasons it sure looks like 2005 fourth overall pick Cedric Benson is a bust. Adrian Peterson is a competent, all-purpose backup, but not as good when he starts for stretches at a time. The diminutive Garrett Wolfe is a scat back who needs to get the ball out in space in order to have success.
5. Left Guard
36-year-old former All-Pro Ruben Brown spent the last half of the year on IR and will be a free agent. Terrence Metcalf stepped in when Brown went down, but he didn't play well and was benched in favor of tackle John St. Clair. The Bears might have their starter on the roster already in 2007 fourth-rounder Josh Beekman, but he only saw action in one game last season and it might be too early to count on him.
6. Strong Safety
Adam Archuleta was no better in Chicago than he was in D.C., while Brandon McGowan was little better than Archuleta. If the Bears stand pat at this position, 2007 fifth-rounder Kevin Payne might have the inside track for the starting job.
7. and 8. Linebacker
Weakside backer Lance Briggs and reserve/special team standout Brendon Ayanbadejo are free agents, with the untested Jamar Williams the likely replacement for Briggs. Middle linebacker Brian Urlacher is coming off of neck surgery, which was probably minor and could leave his neck stronger for next season, but the Bears aren't releasing the details. Strongside backer Hunter Hillenmeyer is solid but not spectacular. Unless Briggs is re-signed, the Bears need to add depth at all three spots.
9. Defensive Tackle
Tommie Harris remains one of the league's best, but Darwin Walker is a likely cap cut after being outplayed by the Bears' other 2007 free agent defensive tackle, Anthony Adams. 2006 third-rounder Dusty Dvoracek has played only one game in two years because of injuries, but had won the starting nose tackle job going into last season. The Bears could be all set here, but because of the question marks and the importance of the position, a quality backup or prospect should be acquired.
It won't matter who the Bears quarterback is if they can't protect him. Left tackle John Tait, 33, played adequately in 2007 but is clearly on the downside of his career and would benefit from a move to right tackle. Last year's starter at right tackle, Fred Miller, is 35, played poorly last year, and should be released, or at least asked to take a significant pay cut. Backup John St. Clair turns 30 this summer and hasn't played well when given the chance to start.
2. Quarterback
The struggles of Rex Grossman have been well documented. According to DPAR & DVOA, Grossman, Brian Griese, and Kyle Orton are basically triplets.
3. Wide Receiver
The best of the bunch, Bernard Berrian, is a free agent. Soon to turn 35, Muhsin Muhammad's career is winding down. Although part of it can be attributed to the poor quarterback play, the Bears didn't get the production they had hoped for when the signed Muhammad in 2005; they better not still be hoping for it. Rashied Davis failed to improve on the potential he showed in 2006, while 2005 second-rounder Mark Bradley had his most disappointing season in a career that has seen him catch only 38 passes.
4. Running Back
After three seasons it sure looks like 2005 fourth overall pick Cedric Benson is a bust. Adrian Peterson is a competent, all-purpose backup, but not as good when he starts for stretches at a time. The diminutive Garrett Wolfe is a scat back who needs to get the ball out in space in order to have success.
5. Left Guard
36-year-old former All-Pro Ruben Brown spent the last half of the year on IR and will be a free agent. Terrence Metcalf stepped in when Brown went down, but he didn't play well and was benched in favor of tackle John St. Clair. The Bears might have their starter on the roster already in 2007 fourth-rounder Josh Beekman, but he only saw action in one game last season and it might be too early to count on him.
6. Strong Safety
Adam Archuleta was no better in Chicago than he was in D.C., while Brandon McGowan was little better than Archuleta. If the Bears stand pat at this position, 2007 fifth-rounder Kevin Payne might have the inside track for the starting job.
7. and 8. Linebacker
Weakside backer Lance Briggs and reserve/special team standout Brendon Ayanbadejo are free agents, with the untested Jamar Williams the likely replacement for Briggs. Middle linebacker Brian Urlacher is coming off of neck surgery, which was probably minor and could leave his neck stronger for next season, but the Bears aren't releasing the details. Strongside backer Hunter Hillenmeyer is solid but not spectacular. Unless Briggs is re-signed, the Bears need to add depth at all three spots.
9. Defensive Tackle
Tommie Harris remains one of the league's best, but Darwin Walker is a likely cap cut after being outplayed by the Bears' other 2007 free agent defensive tackle, Anthony Adams. 2006 third-rounder Dusty Dvoracek has played only one game in two years because of injuries, but had won the starting nose tackle job going into last season. The Bears could be all set here, but because of the question marks and the importance of the position, a quality backup or prospect should be acquired.
Saturday, February 16, 2008
Team Needs: Carolina Panthers
1. Left Tackle
The Panthers have to help Jake Delhomme stay healthy and keep Matt Moore on the sidelines for another season or two, where he can be brought along the way Tony Romo was in Dallas. Last year's starting left tackle Travelle Wharton was re-signed, but the smart money is on him being moved inside to left guard. Right tackle Jordan Gross, who formerly started on the left, is a free agent and is expected to be re-signed or franchise-tagged, but his better position is on the right.
2. Free Safety
Deke Cooper was brought in last year to be a one-year stop-gap at the position. Even if the Panthers re-sign him it would be for depth purposes only. Undrafted free agent Quinton Teal played well enough that he should be back in a reserve role.
3. Wide Receiver
Steve Smith's numbers suffered from inconsistent quarterback play and little help from the team's other receivers, but he's still one of the best in the game. Neither Drew Carter nor Keary Colbert ever reached the potential people saw in them and will likely leave via free agency. 2007 first-rounder Dwayne Jarret needs to take his job more seriously if he's to have a better career than fellow USC underachiever Mike Williams. Fourth-rounder Ryne Robinson was ineffective as a punt returner, but might get a shot to contribute as a slot receiver.
4. Defensive End
The Panthers mounted one of the worst pass rushes in the league last year, with Julius Peppers struggling even worse than he did during the second half of 2006. The Panthers have to find a way to rework his contract, which will count $14 million against the cap, and give him a chance to get back to his old self. Free agent Mike Rucker is hoping to return to the team and is willing to accept a diminished role. Backups Stanley McClover or Charles Johnson looked like backups, but both are young and still have some upside.
5. Defensive Tackle
Former All-Pro Kris Jenkins appears to be on the trading block for the second off-season in a row. 2006 free-agent signing Maake Kemoeatu hasn't made the impact many in Carolina had hoped for, but he did help the Panthers finish a respectable 10th in adjusted line yards. The recently re-signed Damione Lewis plays mostly in passing situations and provides valuable depth.
6. Running Back
DeShaun Foster was 55th in DPAR (-6.8) and DVOA (-21.4%) out of 56 RBs with at least 75 rushes. He never was that much better in previous seasons, always ranking in the bottom half of the league in those metrics. DeAngelo Williams, running behind the same line, ranked 16th in DPAR (18.9) and 6th in DVOA (21.7%). It was one of the quiet mysteries of the season why Williams toted the rock a hundred fewer times than Foster. Foster should be let go and someone else brought in to share carries with Williams.
7. Weakside Linebacker
Na'il Diggs was given a three-year contract extension in late December, keeping him from free agency, but Carolina should still be on the lookout for an upgrade which would allow Diggs to contribute in sub packages and on special teams.
8. Cornerback
Richard Marshall might have surpassed starters Ken Lucas and Chris Gamble in terms of effectiveness. If Lucas is a cap casualty, Marshall is ready to step in, but the problem then is who steps up to be the nickel back, as there's no depth beyond the top three.
9. Tight End
Taken in the fifth round in consecutive drafts, Jeff King and Dante Rosario have both shown themselves to be adequate pro tight ends, but neither of them is the kind of explosive player that characterizes the top performers at that position in today's game.
The Panthers have to help Jake Delhomme stay healthy and keep Matt Moore on the sidelines for another season or two, where he can be brought along the way Tony Romo was in Dallas. Last year's starting left tackle Travelle Wharton was re-signed, but the smart money is on him being moved inside to left guard. Right tackle Jordan Gross, who formerly started on the left, is a free agent and is expected to be re-signed or franchise-tagged, but his better position is on the right.
2. Free Safety
Deke Cooper was brought in last year to be a one-year stop-gap at the position. Even if the Panthers re-sign him it would be for depth purposes only. Undrafted free agent Quinton Teal played well enough that he should be back in a reserve role.
3. Wide Receiver
Steve Smith's numbers suffered from inconsistent quarterback play and little help from the team's other receivers, but he's still one of the best in the game. Neither Drew Carter nor Keary Colbert ever reached the potential people saw in them and will likely leave via free agency. 2007 first-rounder Dwayne Jarret needs to take his job more seriously if he's to have a better career than fellow USC underachiever Mike Williams. Fourth-rounder Ryne Robinson was ineffective as a punt returner, but might get a shot to contribute as a slot receiver.
4. Defensive End
The Panthers mounted one of the worst pass rushes in the league last year, with Julius Peppers struggling even worse than he did during the second half of 2006. The Panthers have to find a way to rework his contract, which will count $14 million against the cap, and give him a chance to get back to his old self. Free agent Mike Rucker is hoping to return to the team and is willing to accept a diminished role. Backups Stanley McClover or Charles Johnson looked like backups, but both are young and still have some upside.
5. Defensive Tackle
Former All-Pro Kris Jenkins appears to be on the trading block for the second off-season in a row. 2006 free-agent signing Maake Kemoeatu hasn't made the impact many in Carolina had hoped for, but he did help the Panthers finish a respectable 10th in adjusted line yards. The recently re-signed Damione Lewis plays mostly in passing situations and provides valuable depth.
6. Running Back
DeShaun Foster was 55th in DPAR (-6.8) and DVOA (-21.4%) out of 56 RBs with at least 75 rushes. He never was that much better in previous seasons, always ranking in the bottom half of the league in those metrics. DeAngelo Williams, running behind the same line, ranked 16th in DPAR (18.9) and 6th in DVOA (21.7%). It was one of the quiet mysteries of the season why Williams toted the rock a hundred fewer times than Foster. Foster should be let go and someone else brought in to share carries with Williams.
7. Weakside Linebacker
Na'il Diggs was given a three-year contract extension in late December, keeping him from free agency, but Carolina should still be on the lookout for an upgrade which would allow Diggs to contribute in sub packages and on special teams.
8. Cornerback
Richard Marshall might have surpassed starters Ken Lucas and Chris Gamble in terms of effectiveness. If Lucas is a cap casualty, Marshall is ready to step in, but the problem then is who steps up to be the nickel back, as there's no depth beyond the top three.
9. Tight End
Taken in the fifth round in consecutive drafts, Jeff King and Dante Rosario have both shown themselves to be adequate pro tight ends, but neither of them is the kind of explosive player that characterizes the top performers at that position in today's game.
Friday, February 15, 2008
Team Needs: Denver Broncos
1. Wide Receiver
Brandon Marshall had a breakout season and Brandon Stokley was back to being one of the best slot receivers in the game (ranked 8th in DVOA among receivers with at least 50 passes thrown their way). Javon Walker, on the other hand, contributed little value, has been a malcontent, and is due some big bonuses this off-season—you think the Broncos might want to cut him loose? After a great career for the Broncos, Rod Smith appears ready to retire. That leaves returner Glenn Martinez as the only other option.
2. Middle Linebacker
D.J. Williams gave it a go on the inside last year, but he's clearly a better fit at outside linebacker. Backup Jordan Beck is good on special teams, but not likely to step into the starter's role. The Broncos would be best off filling this hole with their second or third round draft pick, since there's little to choose from in free agency. Although they could look at one of the recently released former standouts, Zach Thomas or Dan Morgan, even then they would need to bring in young blood.
3. Defensive Tackle
2007 fourth-rounder Marcus Thomas has tremendous upside and should continue to improve and be a force in the trenches. Alvin McKinley would provide adequate depth, but as a starter he leaves a bit to be desired. Denver could use a big run-stuffer to play the nose and should look to add one in the third or fourth round of the draft.
4. Safety
John Lynch will turn 37 in August and even if he returns for one more season, it should be in a limited role. Hamza Abdullah, receiving the most playing time so far in his three-year career, was inconsistent, but he showed some promise, can play either safety position, and is only 24. Nick Ferguson is 33, finished the season on IR, and is a free agent. Roderick Rogers and Steve Cargile are practice squad/bottom of the roster guys. The only reason this need isn't higher is because safety tends to be less of an impact position than DT or MLB.
5. Offensive Tackle
With the retirement of Matt Lepsis, who started 133 games over the last 9 seasons, the Broncos have a big hole to fill at left tackle. 2007 third-rounder Ryan Harris and right tackle Erik Pears, who started on the left side for part of 2006 when Lepsis was injured, could be given a shot at it. Even if Harris and Pears adequately man the two starting spots depth is needed.
6. Running Back
Travis Henry is due a $6 million bonus this off-season and if he doesn't renegotiate his contract there's a good chance Denver could decide he's more trouble than he's worth. Selvin Young had a surprisingly good rookie year, but his durability is a big question mark, and it was clear from Mike Shanahan's end-of-the-year presser than Young won't be getting more than 15-20 carries a game at the most. Denver has liked what they've seen out of undrafted rookie Andre Hall, but he, too, has durability questions. Even if Henry returns there's just too much fragility in this unit not to add at least one more back.
7. Quarterback
I know Patrick Ramsey came in and played well against the Lions, but anyone who watched him in Washington and, even more so, in New York, can't be too comfortable with the thought of him as the backup. I like Ramsey, and I'd love to see him put it all together and get another shot somewhere, but from a personnel standpoint, I'd be looking for an upgrade.
8. Defensive End
If they can resign workman-like base end John Engelberger, Denver should have a good rotation involving him, 2007 second-rounder Tim Crowder (who flashed some ability in his rookie campaign), 2007 first-rounder Jarvis Moss (who struggled with injuries but has hit the weight room hard), and young pass-rushing specialist Elvis Dumervil.
9. Punter
Sam Paulescu punted well in the one and only game of his career so far (week 17), but it remains to be seen if he's the long-term answer. At the very least, he's not going to be simply handed the job just yet.
Brandon Marshall had a breakout season and Brandon Stokley was back to being one of the best slot receivers in the game (ranked 8th in DVOA among receivers with at least 50 passes thrown their way). Javon Walker, on the other hand, contributed little value, has been a malcontent, and is due some big bonuses this off-season—you think the Broncos might want to cut him loose? After a great career for the Broncos, Rod Smith appears ready to retire. That leaves returner Glenn Martinez as the only other option.
2. Middle Linebacker
D.J. Williams gave it a go on the inside last year, but he's clearly a better fit at outside linebacker. Backup Jordan Beck is good on special teams, but not likely to step into the starter's role. The Broncos would be best off filling this hole with their second or third round draft pick, since there's little to choose from in free agency. Although they could look at one of the recently released former standouts, Zach Thomas or Dan Morgan, even then they would need to bring in young blood.
3. Defensive Tackle
2007 fourth-rounder Marcus Thomas has tremendous upside and should continue to improve and be a force in the trenches. Alvin McKinley would provide adequate depth, but as a starter he leaves a bit to be desired. Denver could use a big run-stuffer to play the nose and should look to add one in the third or fourth round of the draft.
4. Safety
John Lynch will turn 37 in August and even if he returns for one more season, it should be in a limited role. Hamza Abdullah, receiving the most playing time so far in his three-year career, was inconsistent, but he showed some promise, can play either safety position, and is only 24. Nick Ferguson is 33, finished the season on IR, and is a free agent. Roderick Rogers and Steve Cargile are practice squad/bottom of the roster guys. The only reason this need isn't higher is because safety tends to be less of an impact position than DT or MLB.
5. Offensive Tackle
With the retirement of Matt Lepsis, who started 133 games over the last 9 seasons, the Broncos have a big hole to fill at left tackle. 2007 third-rounder Ryan Harris and right tackle Erik Pears, who started on the left side for part of 2006 when Lepsis was injured, could be given a shot at it. Even if Harris and Pears adequately man the two starting spots depth is needed.
6. Running Back
Travis Henry is due a $6 million bonus this off-season and if he doesn't renegotiate his contract there's a good chance Denver could decide he's more trouble than he's worth. Selvin Young had a surprisingly good rookie year, but his durability is a big question mark, and it was clear from Mike Shanahan's end-of-the-year presser than Young won't be getting more than 15-20 carries a game at the most. Denver has liked what they've seen out of undrafted rookie Andre Hall, but he, too, has durability questions. Even if Henry returns there's just too much fragility in this unit not to add at least one more back.
7. Quarterback
I know Patrick Ramsey came in and played well against the Lions, but anyone who watched him in Washington and, even more so, in New York, can't be too comfortable with the thought of him as the backup. I like Ramsey, and I'd love to see him put it all together and get another shot somewhere, but from a personnel standpoint, I'd be looking for an upgrade.
8. Defensive End
If they can resign workman-like base end John Engelberger, Denver should have a good rotation involving him, 2007 second-rounder Tim Crowder (who flashed some ability in his rookie campaign), 2007 first-rounder Jarvis Moss (who struggled with injuries but has hit the weight room hard), and young pass-rushing specialist Elvis Dumervil.
9. Punter
Sam Paulescu punted well in the one and only game of his career so far (week 17), but it remains to be seen if he's the long-term answer. At the very least, he's not going to be simply handed the job just yet.
Thursday, February 14, 2008
Team Needs: Buffalo Bills
1. Wide Receiver
Lee Evans is fine as the go-to guy and Josh Reed is a solid number three receiver, but Roscoe Parrish is too inconsistent (although he brings value as one of the league's best punt returners and in four-wide sets). With a good offensive line, and a decent running game, all Trent Edwards needs to succeed is a full complement of receivers.
2. Tight End
Ok, well there is one other thing Edwards could use in addition to another threat at wide out and that's a talented tight end: you know, a security blanket. Brady has Watson; Rivers has Gates; Romo has Witten; and Eli has, of course, Kevin Boss. Robert Royal is a fine all-around second tight end, and Michael Gaines will give the Bills depth, but they need to find that number one guy.
3. Weakside Linebacker
Paul Posluszny will be back from injury to start at middle linebacker, while the strongside is all set with Angelo Crowell. But a replacement for Keith Ellison on the weakside is in order.
4. Defensive Tackle
The Bills haven't adequately replaced Pat Williams since he left. They could use a big ol’ nose tackle to take on blockers and clog up the run. They do have some young talent in John McCargo and Kyle Williams. Larry Triplett provides good depth.
5. Cornerback
Terrence McGee is a solid, underrated performer at right corner, but former third-round pick Ashton Youboty has started only 4 games in two years and has not adapted well to the NFL. Jason Webster was placed on IR after one game. He is a free agent and it looks like his first season in Buffalo will be his last. When Webster and then Youboty went down with injuries, Jabari Greer stepped in and played fairly well. He should be an asset as the nickel corner.
6. Defensive End
The Bills paid out a lot of money last year for Aaron Schobel and Chris Kelsay, but didn't get nearly the production they had hoped to see. A difference maker is needed in the pass rush, and the depth needs to be addressed as well.
7. Guard
The Bills are fine with Derrick Dockery at left guard. Right guard Brad Butler played better as the season went along but might have more value as a versatile backup. Jason Whittle, 33, missed most of the season with a groin injury and is a free agent. The remaining reserves are one-time starter Duke Preston, who enters his fourth season, and Aaron Merz, who enters his third after spending 2007 on IR.
8. Quarterback
I was pretty high on Trent Edwards going into the draft last year, so obviously I'm glad he did relatively well and showed enough to be the starter heading into next season. But with his injury history, Edwards' durability still has to be a concern and not something the Bills front office folks put out of their minds. Whether the backup is J.P. Losman returning for one more season with the Bills, or a veteran free agent, a developmental project should be added in the mid-to-late rounds of the draft as insurance going forward.
Lee Evans is fine as the go-to guy and Josh Reed is a solid number three receiver, but Roscoe Parrish is too inconsistent (although he brings value as one of the league's best punt returners and in four-wide sets). With a good offensive line, and a decent running game, all Trent Edwards needs to succeed is a full complement of receivers.
2. Tight End
Ok, well there is one other thing Edwards could use in addition to another threat at wide out and that's a talented tight end: you know, a security blanket. Brady has Watson; Rivers has Gates; Romo has Witten; and Eli has, of course, Kevin Boss. Robert Royal is a fine all-around second tight end, and Michael Gaines will give the Bills depth, but they need to find that number one guy.
3. Weakside Linebacker
Paul Posluszny will be back from injury to start at middle linebacker, while the strongside is all set with Angelo Crowell. But a replacement for Keith Ellison on the weakside is in order.
4. Defensive Tackle
The Bills haven't adequately replaced Pat Williams since he left. They could use a big ol’ nose tackle to take on blockers and clog up the run. They do have some young talent in John McCargo and Kyle Williams. Larry Triplett provides good depth.
5. Cornerback
Terrence McGee is a solid, underrated performer at right corner, but former third-round pick Ashton Youboty has started only 4 games in two years and has not adapted well to the NFL. Jason Webster was placed on IR after one game. He is a free agent and it looks like his first season in Buffalo will be his last. When Webster and then Youboty went down with injuries, Jabari Greer stepped in and played fairly well. He should be an asset as the nickel corner.
6. Defensive End
The Bills paid out a lot of money last year for Aaron Schobel and Chris Kelsay, but didn't get nearly the production they had hoped to see. A difference maker is needed in the pass rush, and the depth needs to be addressed as well.
7. Guard
The Bills are fine with Derrick Dockery at left guard. Right guard Brad Butler played better as the season went along but might have more value as a versatile backup. Jason Whittle, 33, missed most of the season with a groin injury and is a free agent. The remaining reserves are one-time starter Duke Preston, who enters his fourth season, and Aaron Merz, who enters his third after spending 2007 on IR.
8. Quarterback
I was pretty high on Trent Edwards going into the draft last year, so obviously I'm glad he did relatively well and showed enough to be the starter heading into next season. But with his injury history, Edwards' durability still has to be a concern and not something the Bills front office folks put out of their minds. Whether the backup is J.P. Losman returning for one more season with the Bills, or a veteran free agent, a developmental project should be added in the mid-to-late rounds of the draft as insurance going forward.
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Team Needs: New Orleans Saints
1. Cornerback
Mike McKenzie tore his ACL in week 16. He turns 32 and has only two years left on his contract. His future in New Orleans is uncertain. In the “glass half full” department: the four-year/$15.6 million contract the Saints signed free agent Jason David to last year included only a $3.5 million signing bonus. So they can cut ties with him any time they want, which might be advisable because David performed worse last year than “hole in zone” according to the game charting over at Football Outsiders. 2006 “toastee” Fred Thomas is a free agent not likely to return. The Saints will hope 2007 third-rounder Usama Young can step up and claim one of the starting spots; I think he'll be fine, but ideally he would have another year in sub packages before taking on the full starter's role. Jason Craft is a decent backup.
2. Middle Linebacker
Mark Simoneau is a free agent the Saints won't be asking back. Brian Simmons will be 33 by the time the season starts; he offered little production in 2007 and could be one and done in The Big Easy.
3. Center
Both starter Jeff Faine and backup Jonathan Goodwin are free agents. How good has Faine been these last two years in New Orleans? In 2006 he ranked first in Yakuza Rich's statistical rankings for centers and in 2007 he ranked second.
4. Tight End
Eric Johnson had a disappointing season and will be a free agent, as will backup Billy Miller. That leaves the Saints with only 32-year-old Mark Campbell under contract: a blocking tight end coming off of a back injury that cost him the entire season.
5. Weakside Linebacker
Scott Shanle has manned this spot for two years but it's time for an upgrade. Shanle's value resides in being a versatile backup. 30-year-old Troy Evans is primarily a special teamer.
6. Defensive Tackle
Brian Young is a free agent, even if the Saints bring him back, he will turn 31 this summer. Run stuffers Hollis Thomas, 34, and Kendrick Clancy, who will turn 30 this year, are up there in age. Even career-backup Antwan Lake will turn 29. A late-season addition, Orien Harris, the Steelers' 2006 fourth-rounder, hasn't been able to stick with a roster yet.
7. Wide Receiver
Marques Colston is great, but beyond that this is a position filled with question marks. Devery Henderson couldn't keep his starting job and will be a free agent, as will David Patten, the guy who replaced Henderson. The Saints are reportedly interested in bringing back Patten, as he did make some nice plays for them, but at this point he's really no more than a third or fourth receiver. Lance Moore looked good compared to Henderson, but he'll have to show more consistency in order to get more playing time. Even with the Saints' struggles at wide out, 2007 first-rounder Robert Meacham didn't show enough to the coaches to be active for a single game.
8. Defensive End
The Saints simply didn't get enough production out of ends Will Smith and, especially, Charles Grant, though some of that could be attributed to the atrocious play by certain members of the secondary. Renaldo Wynn is a capable backup and a free agent who could find himself back in New Orleans.
9. Quarterback
The backups are Jamie Martin and Tyler Palko. At the very least, the Saints should bring in competition for Palko as the developmental guy.
Mike McKenzie tore his ACL in week 16. He turns 32 and has only two years left on his contract. His future in New Orleans is uncertain. In the “glass half full” department: the four-year/$15.6 million contract the Saints signed free agent Jason David to last year included only a $3.5 million signing bonus. So they can cut ties with him any time they want, which might be advisable because David performed worse last year than “hole in zone” according to the game charting over at Football Outsiders. 2006 “toastee” Fred Thomas is a free agent not likely to return. The Saints will hope 2007 third-rounder Usama Young can step up and claim one of the starting spots; I think he'll be fine, but ideally he would have another year in sub packages before taking on the full starter's role. Jason Craft is a decent backup.
2. Middle Linebacker
Mark Simoneau is a free agent the Saints won't be asking back. Brian Simmons will be 33 by the time the season starts; he offered little production in 2007 and could be one and done in The Big Easy.
3. Center
Both starter Jeff Faine and backup Jonathan Goodwin are free agents. How good has Faine been these last two years in New Orleans? In 2006 he ranked first in Yakuza Rich's statistical rankings for centers and in 2007 he ranked second.
4. Tight End
Eric Johnson had a disappointing season and will be a free agent, as will backup Billy Miller. That leaves the Saints with only 32-year-old Mark Campbell under contract: a blocking tight end coming off of a back injury that cost him the entire season.
5. Weakside Linebacker
Scott Shanle has manned this spot for two years but it's time for an upgrade. Shanle's value resides in being a versatile backup. 30-year-old Troy Evans is primarily a special teamer.
6. Defensive Tackle
Brian Young is a free agent, even if the Saints bring him back, he will turn 31 this summer. Run stuffers Hollis Thomas, 34, and Kendrick Clancy, who will turn 30 this year, are up there in age. Even career-backup Antwan Lake will turn 29. A late-season addition, Orien Harris, the Steelers' 2006 fourth-rounder, hasn't been able to stick with a roster yet.
7. Wide Receiver
Marques Colston is great, but beyond that this is a position filled with question marks. Devery Henderson couldn't keep his starting job and will be a free agent, as will David Patten, the guy who replaced Henderson. The Saints are reportedly interested in bringing back Patten, as he did make some nice plays for them, but at this point he's really no more than a third or fourth receiver. Lance Moore looked good compared to Henderson, but he'll have to show more consistency in order to get more playing time. Even with the Saints' struggles at wide out, 2007 first-rounder Robert Meacham didn't show enough to the coaches to be active for a single game.
8. Defensive End
The Saints simply didn't get enough production out of ends Will Smith and, especially, Charles Grant, though some of that could be attributed to the atrocious play by certain members of the secondary. Renaldo Wynn is a capable backup and a free agent who could find himself back in New Orleans.
9. Quarterback
The backups are Jamie Martin and Tyler Palko. At the very least, the Saints should bring in competition for Palko as the developmental guy.
Round Up
The NFL Draft Guys present their 2008 NFL Combine All-Snubbed Team. The two players there who really stand out: Georgia center/guard Fernando Velasco and Connecticut LB Danny Lansanah. Although, as much as I liked watching Lansanah at UConn (fan bias alert), I'm even more surprised that Oklahoma State LB Rodrick Johnson didn't get an invite. The Draft Guys also have an interview with one of my “pet cats” Eastern Michigan's Jason Jones.
Yakuza Rich takes A Statistical Look at the Last 30 Super Bowls and finds some interesting results related to the NFL's Passer Rating, such as “the G-Men won the Super Bowl despite having the worst QB rating differential of any team that has gone to the last 30 Super Bowls” and “[the Giants] also had the largest QB rating differential margin to overcome as the Pats had a 37.9 QB rating differential compared to the G-Men’s -9.5 QB rating differential.”
NFL Stats has a fascinating three-part post on The Passing Paradox. Covering similar ground, PFR asks Why do teams run the ball?.
Detroit Lions Weblog on the Patriot's loss and In Defense of Greatness.
Over at Hashmarks Mike Sando breaks down the Patriots' personnel used in Super Bowl 42. One interesting nugget: “Tom Brady averaged 6.2 yards per pass attempt with four or fewer pass rushers coming his way, but 2.6 yards per attempt with more than four.”
Finally, a quick note on the heels of Adam Schefter's report that Chris Long's draft stock is rising and that “the widespread consensus is that Miami football operations chief Bill Parcells believes there is less risk with Long than any other potential No. 1 overall pick.” With so many mock drafts across the Web these days, I'm sure some of them had this earlier, but when I moved Chris Long into the number one spot in my mock draft last month, none of the “major” mock drafts online had gone there yet. As an added kick: I had Chris Long as a first-rounder before the 2007 season started when few others did. Having paid particularly close attention to the personnel decisions (both on the field and in the front office) made by the Dallas Cowboys during Bill Parcells' tenure there, I even had Long going to a Jeff Ireland team!
Yakuza Rich takes A Statistical Look at the Last 30 Super Bowls and finds some interesting results related to the NFL's Passer Rating, such as “the G-Men won the Super Bowl despite having the worst QB rating differential of any team that has gone to the last 30 Super Bowls” and “[the Giants] also had the largest QB rating differential margin to overcome as the Pats had a 37.9 QB rating differential compared to the G-Men’s -9.5 QB rating differential.”
NFL Stats has a fascinating three-part post on The Passing Paradox. Covering similar ground, PFR asks Why do teams run the ball?.
Detroit Lions Weblog on the Patriot's loss and In Defense of Greatness.
Over at Hashmarks Mike Sando breaks down the Patriots' personnel used in Super Bowl 42. One interesting nugget: “Tom Brady averaged 6.2 yards per pass attempt with four or fewer pass rushers coming his way, but 2.6 yards per attempt with more than four.”
Finally, a quick note on the heels of Adam Schefter's report that Chris Long's draft stock is rising and that “the widespread consensus is that Miami football operations chief Bill Parcells believes there is less risk with Long than any other potential No. 1 overall pick.” With so many mock drafts across the Web these days, I'm sure some of them had this earlier, but when I moved Chris Long into the number one spot in my mock draft last month, none of the “major” mock drafts online had gone there yet. As an added kick: I had Chris Long as a first-rounder before the 2007 season started when few others did. Having paid particularly close attention to the personnel decisions (both on the field and in the front office) made by the Dallas Cowboys during Bill Parcells' tenure there, I even had Long going to a Jeff Ireland team!
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
Team Needs: Cincinnati Bengals
1. Defensive End
Barring the bad luck of again having his team's linebacking corps decimated by injuries, Robert Geathers should find himself back starting at one end spot. But Justin Smith is a free agent, and after a poor 2007 in which he was tagged as the team's franchise player, probably won't be back. 2006 third-rounder Frostee Rucker played in the first five games of his career and totaled seven tackles: he'll be fighting just to keep his roster spot in 2008. The Bengals could be helped here if OLB/DE David Pollack is able to make a near-miraculous comeback from his 2006 neck injury.
2. Linebacker
A lot of potential here, but little to count on. In addition to the unlikely return of Pollack, there's the possible return of 2005 second-rounder Odell Thurman. He played like a future All-Pro at times during his rookie season, but off-field issues kept him off the field for two years. He's practicing with the team again and if he's allowed to play, and does so at his old level, it will be a big boost. Ahmad Brooks has loads of talent but has been unable to stay healthy; if he can, he could be the centerpiece of this unit for years to come. Leading tackler Landon Johnson is a free agent, as is Dhani Jones who is strictly an insurance policy at this point in his career. Lemar Marshall, another free agent, is 31 and coming off of an Achilles tear.
3. Defensive Tackle
Second-year nose tackle Domata Peko played well enough in his first year as a starter to retain the job. The position could be upgraded, but it's not a necessity. What is a necessity is an explosive under tackle with an ability to shoot into the backfield and disrupt some plays. John Thornton was the starter last season and could fill a situational role on passing downs and be a decent backup.
4. Offensive Tackle
Levi Jones should be back to his old self at left tackle. But right tackle Willie Anderson turns 33 in July, and Stacy Andrews, who took great strides last season, is a free agent. Andrew Whitworth could switch from guard back to tackle if needed, which helps keep this from being a higher need.
5. Wide Receiver
T.J. Houshmandzadeh proved to casual fans just how valuable he is (hardcore fans, and dedicated Bengal fans, already knew). But how long will Chad Johnson be sticking around? And is Chris Henry going to do the things a pro needs to do, on and off the field, to be a consistent player?
6. Center
Though he's serviceable, Eric Ghiaciuc is the weak link on the line. The Bengals could use an upgrade here.
7. Tight End
Reggie Kelly's adequate, and the team reportedly likes Daniel Coats' potential, but the depth could be improved.
Barring the bad luck of again having his team's linebacking corps decimated by injuries, Robert Geathers should find himself back starting at one end spot. But Justin Smith is a free agent, and after a poor 2007 in which he was tagged as the team's franchise player, probably won't be back. 2006 third-rounder Frostee Rucker played in the first five games of his career and totaled seven tackles: he'll be fighting just to keep his roster spot in 2008. The Bengals could be helped here if OLB/DE David Pollack is able to make a near-miraculous comeback from his 2006 neck injury.
2. Linebacker
A lot of potential here, but little to count on. In addition to the unlikely return of Pollack, there's the possible return of 2005 second-rounder Odell Thurman. He played like a future All-Pro at times during his rookie season, but off-field issues kept him off the field for two years. He's practicing with the team again and if he's allowed to play, and does so at his old level, it will be a big boost. Ahmad Brooks has loads of talent but has been unable to stay healthy; if he can, he could be the centerpiece of this unit for years to come. Leading tackler Landon Johnson is a free agent, as is Dhani Jones who is strictly an insurance policy at this point in his career. Lemar Marshall, another free agent, is 31 and coming off of an Achilles tear.
3. Defensive Tackle
Second-year nose tackle Domata Peko played well enough in his first year as a starter to retain the job. The position could be upgraded, but it's not a necessity. What is a necessity is an explosive under tackle with an ability to shoot into the backfield and disrupt some plays. John Thornton was the starter last season and could fill a situational role on passing downs and be a decent backup.
4. Offensive Tackle
Levi Jones should be back to his old self at left tackle. But right tackle Willie Anderson turns 33 in July, and Stacy Andrews, who took great strides last season, is a free agent. Andrew Whitworth could switch from guard back to tackle if needed, which helps keep this from being a higher need.
5. Wide Receiver
T.J. Houshmandzadeh proved to casual fans just how valuable he is (hardcore fans, and dedicated Bengal fans, already knew). But how long will Chad Johnson be sticking around? And is Chris Henry going to do the things a pro needs to do, on and off the field, to be a consistent player?
6. Center
Though he's serviceable, Eric Ghiaciuc is the weak link on the line. The Bengals could use an upgrade here.
7. Tight End
Reggie Kelly's adequate, and the team reportedly likes Daniel Coats' potential, but the depth could be improved.
Monday, February 11, 2008
Team Needs: Baltimore Ravens
1. Quarterback
Steve McNair has been one of my favorites over the past decade or so, but it's pretty clear he's not his old self. I'm not positive, but I believe it would be only a small cap hit—basically a wash—if the Ravens were to release him. And though I hate to say it, if that's true, it's what I would do. At a cost of only $2 million dollars in 2008, Kyle Boller might have one last chance to win the starting job. If he does start, it will most likely be to keep the seat warm for whichever young QB the Ravens draft. Troy Smith can be fun to watch, but he's a career backup at best.
2. Offensive Tackle
If Jonathan Ogden doesn't retire, this need gets knocked down a peg or two. But no matter what, with Ogden at the end of his career and Adam Terry battling injuries last season, the Ravens need to add a starting-caliber tackle.
3. Cornerback
Chris McAlister struggled with a knee injury last season that cost him eight games. He will turn 31 in June and could be headed for the swift decline that has hit many cornerbacks before him. Samari Rolle, who turns 32 in August, is well into such a decline. Corey Ivy provides depth, but he can't be counted on as a starter.
4. Wide Receiver
Like McNair and Rolle, Derrick Mason is a former Titan who isn't nearly up to his old All-Pro level. He caught a lot of passes, but for relatively little value, ranking 65th in DVOA out of 87 WRs with a minimum of 50 passes thrown their way. Mark Clayton had a disappointing year but should be able to bounce back if the Ravens can get more consistent play from the quarterback position. Demetrius Williams will enter his third season hoping it's a breakout year for him as it has been for many a receiver before him. Devard Darling showed some flashes of big-play ability after making almost no impact his first three seasons, but now he's a free agent.
5. Outside Linebacker
The vaunted Ravens defense only registered 32 sacks, not terrible (they ranked 14th in adjusted sack rate), but a number they'll certainly look to improve in 2008. Terrell Suggs will receive the franchise tag and be brought back to start on one side. But last year's other starter Jarret Johnson will likely be replaced. 2007 fourth-rounder Antwan Barnes could be the guy who wins the job. But even if that happens, the Ravens need to add another pass rusher to rotate in.
6. Tight End
Todd Heap is a top-ten tight end at a time when there seem to be more great ones than ever before. That said, the Ravens lack depth behind him; and should he struggle with an injury the way he did in 2007, the Ravens would again be in trouble at this position. Not to mention that it helps to be able to run two-tight-end sets effectively.
Steve McNair has been one of my favorites over the past decade or so, but it's pretty clear he's not his old self. I'm not positive, but I believe it would be only a small cap hit—basically a wash—if the Ravens were to release him. And though I hate to say it, if that's true, it's what I would do. At a cost of only $2 million dollars in 2008, Kyle Boller might have one last chance to win the starting job. If he does start, it will most likely be to keep the seat warm for whichever young QB the Ravens draft. Troy Smith can be fun to watch, but he's a career backup at best.
2. Offensive Tackle
If Jonathan Ogden doesn't retire, this need gets knocked down a peg or two. But no matter what, with Ogden at the end of his career and Adam Terry battling injuries last season, the Ravens need to add a starting-caliber tackle.
3. Cornerback
Chris McAlister struggled with a knee injury last season that cost him eight games. He will turn 31 in June and could be headed for the swift decline that has hit many cornerbacks before him. Samari Rolle, who turns 32 in August, is well into such a decline. Corey Ivy provides depth, but he can't be counted on as a starter.
4. Wide Receiver
Like McNair and Rolle, Derrick Mason is a former Titan who isn't nearly up to his old All-Pro level. He caught a lot of passes, but for relatively little value, ranking 65th in DVOA out of 87 WRs with a minimum of 50 passes thrown their way. Mark Clayton had a disappointing year but should be able to bounce back if the Ravens can get more consistent play from the quarterback position. Demetrius Williams will enter his third season hoping it's a breakout year for him as it has been for many a receiver before him. Devard Darling showed some flashes of big-play ability after making almost no impact his first three seasons, but now he's a free agent.
5. Outside Linebacker
The vaunted Ravens defense only registered 32 sacks, not terrible (they ranked 14th in adjusted sack rate), but a number they'll certainly look to improve in 2008. Terrell Suggs will receive the franchise tag and be brought back to start on one side. But last year's other starter Jarret Johnson will likely be replaced. 2007 fourth-rounder Antwan Barnes could be the guy who wins the job. But even if that happens, the Ravens need to add another pass rusher to rotate in.
6. Tight End
Todd Heap is a top-ten tight end at a time when there seem to be more great ones than ever before. That said, the Ravens lack depth behind him; and should he struggle with an injury the way he did in 2007, the Ravens would again be in trouble at this position. Not to mention that it helps to be able to run two-tight-end sets effectively.
Sunday, February 10, 2008
Team Needs: San Francisco 49ers
1. Wide Receiver
Darrell Jackson looked worse in San Francisco than he ever did in Seattle (and he had some tough times in the Emerald City). Arnaz Battle can be described, at best, as steady. Ashley Lelie barely resembled a pro wide out last year, and while I can see Mike Martz's arrival rejuvenating Lelie's career, that's not something the 49ers can afford to count on. It's not uncommon for a receiver to take a few years to adjust to the NFL, but 2007 third-rounder Jason Hill only managed one reception on a team where he should have been able to accomplish more than that.
2. Defensive End
San Francisco's base 3-4 takes a big hit with the retirement of Bryant Young and the free agency of Marques Douglas. The 49ers might have to be content to let Ronald Fields and Ray McDonald battle each other for one of the starting spots; at the very least, they need to find one new quality starter.
3. Guard
Larry Allen is retiring and Justin Smiley who finished the year on IR will be a free agent. David Baas should retain his starting spot at right guard, but the 49ers will have to bring in somebody new to fill the hole in the roster on the left side.
4. Cornerback
Walt Harris turns 34 this summer and even if the 49ers can squeeze one more decent year out of him, there's no one on the roster who can be a quality starter when he's done. In fact, there's no one on the roster who the 49ers should be content to have as their nickel corner entering next season.
5. Inside Linebacker
Defensive rookie of the year Patrick Willis holds down one spot, but it's time to replace 33-year-old Derek Smith at the other. Former starter Brandon Moore could be the starter again, but an upgrade would be nice, and at the very least depth is needed.
6. Outside Linebacker
This should be a stronger unit in 2008 with both 2006 first-rounder Manny Lawson and 2007 fourth-rounder Jay Moore coming back from injuries. But Lawson has had trouble staying healthy as a pro, so insurance is called for. 2007 free-agent signing Tully Banta-Cain had only 3.5 sacks with one of them coming late in the season against a Bucs team that was resting many of its starters.
7. Fullback
Moran Norris is a one-dimensional, blocking fullback who, if last year was any indication, is no longer adequate at that one dimension. I would rate this as more of a need if Mike Martz weren't coming to town.
8. Running Back
Frank Gore is a top-ten back, but Maurice Hicks is a free agent and Michael Robinson appears to be strictly a situational guy. In a draft that's as deep as ever at the running back spot, the 49ers should use a mid-to-late round pick on a young back who can come in and take some of the load off of Gore. I would rate this as more of a need if Mike Martz weren't coming to town (déjà vu).
Darrell Jackson looked worse in San Francisco than he ever did in Seattle (and he had some tough times in the Emerald City). Arnaz Battle can be described, at best, as steady. Ashley Lelie barely resembled a pro wide out last year, and while I can see Mike Martz's arrival rejuvenating Lelie's career, that's not something the 49ers can afford to count on. It's not uncommon for a receiver to take a few years to adjust to the NFL, but 2007 third-rounder Jason Hill only managed one reception on a team where he should have been able to accomplish more than that.
2. Defensive End
San Francisco's base 3-4 takes a big hit with the retirement of Bryant Young and the free agency of Marques Douglas. The 49ers might have to be content to let Ronald Fields and Ray McDonald battle each other for one of the starting spots; at the very least, they need to find one new quality starter.
3. Guard
Larry Allen is retiring and Justin Smiley who finished the year on IR will be a free agent. David Baas should retain his starting spot at right guard, but the 49ers will have to bring in somebody new to fill the hole in the roster on the left side.
4. Cornerback
Walt Harris turns 34 this summer and even if the 49ers can squeeze one more decent year out of him, there's no one on the roster who can be a quality starter when he's done. In fact, there's no one on the roster who the 49ers should be content to have as their nickel corner entering next season.
5. Inside Linebacker
Defensive rookie of the year Patrick Willis holds down one spot, but it's time to replace 33-year-old Derek Smith at the other. Former starter Brandon Moore could be the starter again, but an upgrade would be nice, and at the very least depth is needed.
6. Outside Linebacker
This should be a stronger unit in 2008 with both 2006 first-rounder Manny Lawson and 2007 fourth-rounder Jay Moore coming back from injuries. But Lawson has had trouble staying healthy as a pro, so insurance is called for. 2007 free-agent signing Tully Banta-Cain had only 3.5 sacks with one of them coming late in the season against a Bucs team that was resting many of its starters.
7. Fullback
Moran Norris is a one-dimensional, blocking fullback who, if last year was any indication, is no longer adequate at that one dimension. I would rate this as more of a need if Mike Martz weren't coming to town.
8. Running Back
Frank Gore is a top-ten back, but Maurice Hicks is a free agent and Michael Robinson appears to be strictly a situational guy. In a draft that's as deep as ever at the running back spot, the 49ers should use a mid-to-late round pick on a young back who can come in and take some of the load off of Gore. I would rate this as more of a need if Mike Martz weren't coming to town (déjà vu).
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