Team Needs

AFC East	NFC East
Buffalo Bills	Dallas Cowboys
Miami Dolphins	New York Giants
New England Patriots	Philadelphia Eagles
New York Jets	Washington Redskins
AFC North	NFC North
Baltimore Ravens	Chicago Bears
Cincinnati Bengals	Detroit Lions
Cleveland Browns	Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers	Minnesota Vikings
AFC South	NFC South
Houston Texans	Atlanta Falcons
Indianapolis Colts	Carolina Panthers
Jacksonville Jaguars	New Orleans Saints
Tennessee Titans	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
AFC West	NFC West
Denver Broncos	Arizona Cardinals
Kansas City Chiefs	St. Louis Rams
Oakland Raiders	San Francisco 49ers
San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks

Team Needs: Atlanta Falcons

1. Quarterback
The Falcons made a good move in resigning Chris Redman, who was their best quarterback last season, to a two-year deal. And they may have cleared enough cap space with their many off-season cuts to keep Joey Harrington and his $2.5 million salary. But they need to get their future starter, which they should be able to do in the draft.

2. Offensive Tackle
Devastated by injuries (they started four different left tackles last season), Atlanta's offensive line was one of the worst. The unit ranked dead last in Adjusted Line Yards and finished in the bottom third of the leauge (23rd) in Adjusted Sack Rate. Undersized tackle Todd Weiner is 32 and coming off of a knee injury, but he can play either side and should be able to hold down one of the starting jobs. The other is up in the air, with Quinn Ojinnaka, D'Anthony Batiste, and a host of others battling for spots on the team.

3. Defensive Tackle
Former All-Pro, Rod Coleman was a necessary cap cut, but without him the Falcons are especially thin on talent up front. Sixth-rounder Trey Lewis was a pleasant surprise as a space eater inside and could be a solid two-down player. 2005 third-rounder Jonathan Babineaux has been inconsistent, but might be better off subbing in for Lewis on passing downs. Montavious Stanley and Jesse Mahelona are already journeymen after two seasons in the league.

4. Middle Linebacker
32-year-old Keith Brooking is ill-suited to be the starting middle linebacker again. He's scheduled to make $5 million in 2008 and is among the next in the cap-cut line.

5. Wide Receiver
2005 first-rounder Roddy White finally started to reach the potential he showed that made him a high draft pick, which is especially good because 2004 first-rounder Michael Jenkins continues to underwhelm. Joe Horn was another in a long line of disappointing free agent signings and he's not likely to be back.

6. Tight End
Alge Crumpler was always a little overrated, and now that he's battling knee problems that look like they might be a chronic issue, it was a wise decision to err on the side of adding cap space. 2007 fourth-rounder Martrez Milner is a decent blocking back who finished the season on IR and could be an asset in two tight end sets, but the Falcons need to add a new number one here.

7. Guard
Tyson Clabo, who filled in at right tackle last season, has the inside track for the right guard spot, while left guard Justin Blalock, Atlanta's second round pick last year, will have to show improvement to hold down his starting job (although, with so many other holes to be filled, the job could be his by default).

8. Defensive End
The often injured John Abraham started all sixteen games for only the second time in his eight-year career, recording 10 of Atlanta's 25 sacks. 2007 first-rounder Jamaal Anderson was a major disappointment, failing to deliver a single sack. Having just turned 22, Anderson obviously still has upside; a year in an NFL strength and conditioning program should go a long way toward improving his game, as long as he has the drive. While their starters at end are set, the Falcons need to add depth late in the draft.

9. Strong Safety
Even if Lawyer Milloy is retained for the 2008 season, it will be the 34-year-old strong safety's last year in Atlanta and probably the league. Sixth-rounder Darren Stone is the backup who could be given a chance to start if Milloy's cut.

10. Kicker
Morten Anderson will turn 48 this summer. He's my favorite all-time kicker, but I can't imagine he's going to reach his goal of kicking in the NFL when he's 50. Last season had to be the end of the road for him.

Team Needs: Minnesota Vikings

1. Defensive End
Minnesota's 38 sacks were good enough for eighth in the league, but they didn't really have a good pass rush, as they ranked only 28th in adjusted sack rate. Starting ends Kenechi Udeze and Ray Edwards aren't bad, but they're not the game-changing pass rushers that are a must have in today's NFL. 2005 first-rounder Erasmus James had plenty of talent coming out of Wisconsin but he also had an injury history that made him a very risky first round pick, which is why I had Matt Roth and Justin Tuck ranked ahead of him. James has managed only 12 starts in 23 games over his first three years with the past two seasons being cut short by knee injuries. 2007 fourth-rounder Brian Robison flashed some potential and could improve with a good off-season conditioning program to help keep him from wearing down, but a stud DE is still in order for Minnesota.

2. Strong Safety
Darren Sharper will be a 33-year-old free agent after the 2008 season. The Vikings should try to land the future starter with one of their mid-round draft picks.

3. Defensive Tackle
Starters Kevin Williams and Pat Williams are both All-Pro–caliber players. But big Pat will be 36 by the time the 2008 season finishes; and with Spencer Johnson's departure to the Bills, the only reserve is 2006 seventh-rounder Fred Evans.

4. Quarterback
As I watched the Vikings-Cowboys game last season, one thing became clear: With adequate quarterback play, the Vikings were a playoff team. But Tarvaris Jackson was a bit more raw than most QBs taken in the first two rounds, so it's way too early to give up on him yet. More importantly, he showed some improvement as the season wore on. Ideally a veteran would be brought in to compete for the stating job while Jackson continues to acclimate himself to the NFL. At the very least, they need a better backup than Brooks Bollinger, who can be fun to watch but has too many flaws in his game.

5. Tight End
One of the great mysteries of the 2007 off-season was the five-year, $18.2 million contract which the Vikes gave to Visanthe Shiancoe. His 27-catch, 1-TD season did nothing to solve that mystery. Jim Kleinsasser is a great blocker, but he's 31 and will be a free agent after next season.

6. Linebacker
With the departure of free agent Dontarrious Thomas, the Vikings lack adequate depth at each linebacker spot.

7. Left Tackle
This position wouldn't be as much of an issue except for the possible suspension of Bryant McKinnie for his second off-field incident. Artis Hicks or Marcus Johnson would likely start in any games McKinnie misses, but if you're talking about a quarter of the season, a better option would be nice.

Team Needs: Arizona Cardinals

1. Outside Linebacker
Adding a pass-rushing linebacker/nickel defensive end is a must with one starter, Chike Okeafor, coming off an injury and the other, Calvin Pace, a free agent. Bertrand Berry hasn't been able to stay healthy and has played basically half the season for three years running. Monty Beisel is a versatile backup and experienced special teams coverage guy, but that's about it.

2. Running Back
Edgerrin James's first two seasons in Arizona have been a disappointment. This year he turns 30, making it unlikely that better days are ahead. 2005 second-rounder J.J. Arrington has been a bust. Backup Marcel Shipp also turns 30 this year and I can't imagine Arizona keeps him around much longer.

3. Defensive End
One side is set with Darnell Dockett, while the other side is manned by restricted free agent Antonio Smith who recently received the first-round tender. Ideally Smith would be upgraded, but he's young and could continue to improve. The big problem is the lack of depth, with nothing at all beyond the two starters. And rotation of defensive linemen is more important than ever in the NFL.

4. Cornerback
Rod Hood had some outstanding metrics last season and is arguably one of the most underrated players in the league right now. Eric Green was far less than stellar, but if Arizona's mediocre pass rush could be improved, Green could be adequate. The eighth overall pick in the 2005 draft, Antrel Rolle hasn't met expectations, but it looks like he has a future at free safety, where he could be a good one. A young cornerback to challenge Green for his starting spot is a must.

5. Wide Receiver
With negotiations to restructure Larry Fitzgerald's contract reaching an impasse, the Cardinals might have to swallow his $14.6 million salary in 2008. But he's due even more, $17.4 million to be exact, next year. Needless to say, Fitzgerald's future in Arizona is questionable. They do still have Anquan Boldin signed through 2010, but Bryant Johnson will leave via free agency. 2007 fifth-rounder Steve Breaston did well as a returner and has some upside, but the Cards need to start developing another young receiver.

6. Punter
When the Mike Barr experiment didn't pan out, the Cards turned to 12-year vet Mitch Berger who had been out of football for over a year. About that time off: yeah, it showed.

Team Needs: Indianapolis Colts

1. Guard
Last year's starter at right guard Jake Scott is a free agent. Even if the Colts go ahead and re-sign Scott, they should still look to add depth as far as the interior line is concerned, especially with backup guard/center Dylan Gandy (currently a restricted free agent) likely to be playing on a one-year deal.

2. Defensive End
Starters Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis were lost to inuries last season, which exposed a complete lack of depth at the position.

3. Kicker
The Colts give up a lot of hidden yardage in their kicking game, and although poor coverage is an issue, Adam Vinatieri's poor kickoffs are as much the culprit. And contrary to popular belief, Vinatieri doesn't make up for it with field goal accuracy.

4. Wide Receiver
This is another position where the "need" is mainly for depth purposes. Yes, Marvin Harrison is nearing the end of career, but the Colts helped take care of that by drafting Anthony Gonzalez last year. And of course they still have Reggie Wayne, while the recently re-signed Dallas Clark lines up predominantly as a slot receiver rather than as a tight end.

5. Kick Returner
All the blame for the Colts league-worst special teams can't be placed on Adam Vinatieri and the coverage units. The Colts ranked 21st in the league in kickoff return average and need to add a consistent threat in the return game.

6. Linebacker
Gary Brackett had a great year in the middle, while Freddy Keiaho continued to improve on the weak side. Strong-side backer Rob Morris will be back from injury, and Tyjuan Hagler will be back as his backup. However, the other reserve who saw plenty of action, Rocky Boiman, could leave as a free agent. So once again depth needs to be added.

7. Quarterback
With Peyton Manning nearing his thirty-second birthday, isn't it about time the Colts upgraded his backup in case of injury?

8. Running Back
Running back is a fragile position; and although the Colts seemed to have found Joseph Addai's backup in former Canadian football leaguer Kenton Keith, they can look to bolster their depth at this spot as well.

Team Needs: Detroit Lions

1. Defensive Tackle
Shaun Rogers still has All-Pro talent, but he has an all-world gut that seems to contribute to his inconsistent play as he wore down during games and over the course of the season. After early reports had the Lions ready to release or trade him rather than pay out a $1 million roster bonus due in March, the word now is that Detroit is content to keep him. Either way, young talent needs to be brought in at both tackle spots. Cory Redding regressed after adjusting nicely from end to tackle in 2006. Restricted free agent Langston Moore is a career backup, while 2005 second-rounder Shaun Cody has been a bust.

2. Offensive Tackle
Jeff Backus has started all of the Lions' 112 games since he was taken with the 18th overall selection in the 2001 draft, but he has never met expectations. While occasionally attaining the level of adequate (he ranked 10th in 2005 according to Yakuza Rich's statistical metric, he has more often played barely well enough (20th by YR in 2006 and 19th in 2007) to keep his job (although having Matt Millen as GM has probably helped there as well). The Lions should consider moving Backus to right tackle where the recently acquired George Foster lost the job, first to 2006 fifth-rounder Jonathan Scott and then, when Scott was placed on IR, to guard Damien Woody.

3. Middle Linebacker
Paris Lenon lacks the athleticism to be a quality starter at MLB in the Tampa Two and should be shifted to the strongside where Boss Bailey is expected to leave via free agency. Former starter Teddy Lehman hasn't played well since struggling with injuries in 05 and 06 and is also a free agent.

4. Cornerback
When healthy, Fernando Bryant is an average cornerback. That might not seem like anything to get excited about, but it's leaps and bounds better than the rest of the Detroit secondary. Bryant will turn 31 in March and some rumors have him contemplating retirement. After playing very well in 2006, Stanley Wilson was named the starter for 2007. But he performed terribly and was benched five games into the season. He's a free agent and all but gone. Rams castoff Travis Fisher was brought in on a one-year deal and wound up starting 13 games. As KC Joyner wrote entering the season: “Fisher had the worst [Yards Per Attempt] of any cornerback in 2005. He followed this up with the third worst YPA in 2006. He also had the 2nd worst success percentage.” Backup Keith Smith is another free agent.

5. Defensive End
Dewayne White was a decent free agent signing at a position of need last year in a weak market, but he's limited as an every down player. Kalimba Edwards signed a five-year, $20 million contract extension with $8 million in guarantees not too long ago, but after a 2007 season that saw him inactive down the stretch, he's expected to be released. Last year's second round pick Ikaika Alama-Francis is not a prospect I was high on, but it was expected he would be raw and take time to develop, so it's a bit early to make a call on him just yet. If the Lions stand pat, Alama-Francis should contend with Jared DeVries for the starting spot opposite White.

6. Tight end
Dan Campbell has struggled with injuries in Detroit, but he's a solid vet who would be worth the $1.8 million he's due in 2008 if he can stay healthy and help mentor a young draft pick. Sean McHugh made some plays on the few occasions when he was given a chance. He's not going to set the field on fire, but he's a restricted free agent worth brining back for depth.

7. Running back
Kevin Jones, who looked so promising as a rookie, has had his carrer derailed by injuries so far. This time he'll be returning from a torn ACL. Tatum Bell's talent was overstated when he was in Denver and after only playing five games in Detroit he's a free agent who won't be missed. T.J. Duckett is also a free agent. He produced 5.2 yards per carry but was underutilized by Mike Martz. The Lions should try to re-sign him. 2006 third-rounder Brian Calhoun hasn't shown much and can't be counted on to be the future here if Jones continues to struggle with injuries.

8. Guard
Edwin Mulitalo and Stephen Peterman are pencilled in as the starters and both could stand to be upgraded, especially Peterman, who is backup quality. The Lions might be OK here already, as they have some competition on the roster in 2006 undrafted free agent Frank Davis and 2007 fourth-rounder Manny Ramirez. Damien Woody waited till the last year of his contract to finally show up for the Lions and now he's a free agent again and looking for another team to sucker. If the Lions can't find a legit starter to bring in, they might have to settle for what they have and hope the young guys continue to improve.

9. Fullback
This is about as deep a draft for fullbacks as we'll see these days. I know it's an endangered position in today's NFL, but the Lions are nuts if they don't go after a more versatile upgrade over converted defensive tackle Jon Bradley.

10. Quarterback
Jon Kitna's fine for the short term. The Lions can win with him if only they could fill their many other needs. New quarterback coach Scot Loeffler will try to bring along 2007 second-rounder Drew Stanton and 2005 fifth-rounder Dan Orlovsky. I wasn't high on either of them as prospects, so if I were in Matt Millen's shoes I wouldn't be content with those two as my developmental guys, but he's the GM and I'm just a lowly blogger.

Team Needs: Chicago Bears

1. Offensive Tackle
It won't matter who the Bears quarterback is if they can't protect him. Left tackle John Tait, 33, played adequately in 2007 but is clearly on the downside of his career and would benefit from a move to right tackle. Last year's starter at right tackle, Fred Miller, is 35, played poorly last year, and should be released, or at least asked to take a significant pay cut. Backup John St. Clair turns 30 this summer and hasn't played well when given the chance to start.

2. Quarterback
The struggles of Rex Grossman have been well documented. According to DPAR & DVOA, Grossman, Brian Griese, and Kyle Orton are basically triplets.

3. Wide Receiver
The best of the bunch, Bernard Berrian, is a free agent. Soon to turn 35, Muhsin Muhammad's career is winding down. Although part of it can be attributed to the poor quarterback play, the Bears didn't get the production they had hoped for when the signed Muhammad in 2005; they better not still be hoping for it. Rashied Davis failed to improve on the potential he showed in 2006, while 2005 second-rounder Mark Bradley had his most disappointing season in a career that has seen him catch only 38 passes.

4. Running Back
After three seasons it sure looks like 2005 fourth overall pick Cedric Benson is a bust. Adrian Peterson is a competent, all-purpose backup, but not as good when he starts for stretches at a time. The diminutive Garrett Wolfe is a scat back who needs to get the ball out in space in order to have success.

5. Left Guard
36-year-old former All-Pro Ruben Brown spent the last half of the year on IR and will be a free agent. Terrence Metcalf stepped in when Brown went down, but he didn't play well and was benched in favor of tackle John St. Clair. The Bears might have their starter on the roster already in 2007 fourth-rounder Josh Beekman, but he only saw action in one game last season and it might be too early to count on him.

6. Strong Safety
Adam Archuleta was no better in Chicago than he was in D.C., while Brandon McGowan was little better than Archuleta. If the Bears stand pat at this position, 2007 fifth-rounder Kevin Payne might have the inside track for the starting job.

7. and 8. Linebacker
Weakside backer Lance Briggs and reserve/special team standout Brendon Ayanbadejo are free agents, with the untested Jamar Williams the likely replacement for Briggs. Middle linebacker Brian Urlacher is coming off of neck surgery, which was probably minor and could leave his neck stronger for next season, but the Bears aren't releasing the details. Strongside backer Hunter Hillenmeyer is solid but not spectacular. Unless Briggs is re-signed, the Bears need to add depth at all three spots.

9. Defensive Tackle
Tommie Harris remains one of the league's best, but Darwin Walker is a likely cap cut after being outplayed by the Bears' other 2007 free agent defensive tackle, Anthony Adams. 2006 third-rounder Dusty Dvoracek has played only one game in two years because of injuries, but had won the starting nose tackle job going into last season. The Bears could be all set here, but because of the question marks and the importance of the position, a quality backup or prospect should be acquired.

Team Needs: Carolina Panthers

1. Left Tackle
The Panthers have to help Jake Delhomme stay healthy and keep Matt Moore on the sidelines for another season or two, where he can be brought along the way Tony Romo was in Dallas. Last year's starting left tackle Travelle Wharton was re-signed, but the smart money is on him being moved inside to left guard. Right tackle Jordan Gross, who formerly started on the left, is a free agent and is expected to be re-signed or franchise-tagged, but his better position is on the right.

2. Free Safety
Deke Cooper was brought in last year to be a one-year stop-gap at the position. Even if the Panthers re-sign him it would be for depth purposes only. Undrafted free agent Quinton Teal played well enough that he should be back in a reserve role.

3. Wide Receiver
Steve Smith's numbers suffered from inconsistent quarterback play and little help from the team's other receivers, but he's still one of the best in the game. Neither Drew Carter nor Keary Colbert ever reached the potential people saw in them and will likely leave via free agency. 2007 first-rounder Dwayne Jarret needs to take his job more seriously if he's to have a better career than fellow USC underachiever Mike Williams. Fourth-rounder Ryne Robinson was ineffective as a punt returner, but might get a shot to contribute as a slot receiver.

4. Defensive End
The Panthers mounted one of the worst pass rushes in the league last year, with Julius Peppers struggling even worse than he did during the second half of 2006. The Panthers have to find a way to rework his contract, which will count $14 million against the cap, and give him a chance to get back to his old self. Free agent Mike Rucker is hoping to return to the team and is willing to accept a diminished role. Backups Stanley McClover or Charles Johnson looked like backups, but both are young and still have some upside.

5. Defensive Tackle
Former All-Pro Kris Jenkins appears to be on the trading block for the second off-season in a row. 2006 free-agent signing Maake Kemoeatu hasn't made the impact many in Carolina had hoped for, but he did help the Panthers finish a respectable 10th in adjusted line yards. The recently re-signed Damione Lewis plays mostly in passing situations and provides valuable depth.

6. Running Back
DeShaun Foster was 55th in DPAR (-6.8) and DVOA (-21.4%) out of 56 RBs with at least 75 rushes. He never was that much better in previous seasons, always ranking in the bottom half of the league in those metrics. DeAngelo Williams, running behind the same line, ranked 16th in DPAR (18.9) and 6th in DVOA (21.7%). It was one of the quiet mysteries of the season why Williams toted the rock a hundred fewer times than Foster. Foster should be let go and someone else brought in to share carries with Williams.

7. Weakside Linebacker
Na'il Diggs was given a three-year contract extension in late December, keeping him from free agency, but Carolina should still be on the lookout for an upgrade which would allow Diggs to contribute in sub packages and on special teams.

8. Cornerback
Richard Marshall might have surpassed starters Ken Lucas and Chris Gamble in terms of effectiveness. If Lucas is a cap casualty, Marshall is ready to step in, but the problem then is who steps up to be the nickel back, as there's no depth beyond the top three.

9. Tight End
Taken in the fifth round in consecutive drafts, Jeff King and Dante Rosario have both shown themselves to be adequate pro tight ends, but neither of them is the kind of explosive player that characterizes the top performers at that position in today's game.

Team Needs: Denver Broncos

1. Wide Receiver
Brandon Marshall had a breakout season and Brandon Stokley was back to being one of the best slot receivers in the game (ranked 8th in DVOA among receivers with at least 50 passes thrown their way). Javon Walker, on the other hand, contributed little value, has been a malcontent, and is due some big bonuses this off-season—you think the Broncos might want to cut him loose? After a great career for the Broncos, Rod Smith appears ready to retire. That leaves returner Glenn Martinez as the only other option.

2. Middle Linebacker
D.J. Williams gave it a go on the inside last year, but he's clearly a better fit at outside linebacker. Backup Jordan Beck is good on special teams, but not likely to step into the starter's role. The Broncos would be best off filling this hole with their second or third round draft pick, since there's little to choose from in free agency. Although they could look at one of the recently released former standouts, Zach Thomas or Dan Morgan, even then they would need to bring in young blood.

3. Defensive Tackle
2007 fourth-rounder Marcus Thomas has tremendous upside and should continue to improve and be a force in the trenches. Alvin McKinley would provide adequate depth, but as a starter he leaves a bit to be desired. Denver could use a big run-stuffer to play the nose and should look to add one in the third or fourth round of the draft.

4. Safety
John Lynch will turn 37 in August and even if he returns for one more season, it should be in a limited role. Hamza Abdullah, receiving the most playing time so far in his three-year career, was inconsistent, but he showed some promise, can play either safety position, and is only 24. Nick Ferguson is 33, finished the season on IR, and is a free agent. Roderick Rogers and Steve Cargile are practice squad/bottom of the roster guys. The only reason this need isn't higher is because safety tends to be less of an impact position than DT or MLB.

5. Offensive Tackle
With the retirement of Matt Lepsis, who started 133 games over the last 9 seasons, the Broncos have a big hole to fill at left tackle. 2007 third-rounder Ryan Harris and right tackle Erik Pears, who started on the left side for part of 2006 when Lepsis was injured, could be given a shot at it. Even if Harris and Pears adequately man the two starting spots depth is needed.

6. Running Back
Travis Henry is due a $6 million bonus this off-season and if he doesn't renegotiate his contract there's a good chance Denver could decide he's more trouble than he's worth. Selvin Young had a surprisingly good rookie year, but his durability is a big question mark, and it was clear from Mike Shanahan's end-of-the-year presser than Young won't be getting more than 15-20 carries a game at the most. Denver has liked what they've seen out of undrafted rookie Andre Hall, but he, too, has durability questions. Even if Henry returns there's just too much fragility in this unit not to add at least one more back.

7. Quarterback
I know Patrick Ramsey came in and played well against the Lions, but anyone who watched him in Washington and, even more so, in New York, can't be too comfortable with the thought of him as the backup. I like Ramsey, and I'd love to see him put it all together and get another shot somewhere, but from a personnel standpoint, I'd be looking for an upgrade.

8. Defensive End
If they can resign workman-like base end John Engelberger, Denver should have a good rotation involving him, 2007 second-rounder Tim Crowder (who flashed some ability in his rookie campaign), 2007 first-rounder Jarvis Moss (who struggled with injuries but has hit the weight room hard), and young pass-rushing specialist Elvis Dumervil.

9. Punter
Sam Paulescu punted well in the one and only game of his career so far (week 17), but it remains to be seen if he's the long-term answer. At the very least, he's not going to be simply handed the job just yet.

Team Needs: Buffalo Bills

1. Wide Receiver
Lee Evans is fine as the go-to guy and Josh Reed is a solid number three receiver, but Roscoe Parrish is too inconsistent (although he brings value as one of the league's best punt returners and in four-wide sets). With a good offensive line, and a decent running game, all Trent Edwards needs to succeed is a full complement of receivers.

2. Tight End
Ok, well there is one other thing Edwards could use in addition to another threat at wide out and that's a talented tight end: you know, a security blanket. Brady has Watson; Rivers has Gates; Romo has Witten; and Eli has, of course, Kevin Boss. Robert Royal is a fine all-around second tight end, and Michael Gaines will give the Bills depth, but they need to find that number one guy.

3. Weakside Linebacker
Paul Posluszny will be back from injury to start at middle linebacker, while the strongside is all set with Angelo Crowell. But a replacement for Keith Ellison on the weakside is in order.

4. Defensive Tackle
The Bills haven't adequately replaced Pat Williams since he left. They could use a big ol’ nose tackle to take on blockers and clog up the run. They do have some young talent in John McCargo and Kyle Williams. Larry Triplett provides good depth.

5. Cornerback
Terrence McGee is a solid, underrated performer at right corner, but former third-round pick Ashton Youboty has started only 4 games in two years and has not adapted well to the NFL. Jason Webster was placed on IR after one game. He is a free agent and it looks like his first season in Buffalo will be his last. When Webster and then Youboty went down with injuries, Jabari Greer stepped in and played fairly well. He should be an asset as the nickel corner.

6. Defensive End
The Bills paid out a lot of money last year for Aaron Schobel and Chris Kelsay, but didn't get nearly the production they had hoped to see. A difference maker is needed in the pass rush, and the depth needs to be addressed as well.

7. Guard
The Bills are fine with Derrick Dockery at left guard. Right guard Brad Butler played better as the season went along but might have more value as a versatile backup. Jason Whittle, 33, missed most of the season with a groin injury and is a free agent. The remaining reserves are one-time starter Duke Preston, who enters his fourth season, and Aaron Merz, who enters his third after spending 2007 on IR.

8. Quarterback
I was pretty high on Trent Edwards going into the draft last year, so obviously I'm glad he did relatively well and showed enough to be the starter heading into next season. But with his injury history, Edwards' durability still has to be a concern and not something the Bills front office folks put out of their minds. Whether the backup is J.P. Losman returning for one more season with the Bills, or a veteran free agent, a developmental project should be added in the mid-to-late rounds of the draft as insurance going forward.

Team Needs: New Orleans Saints

1. Cornerback
Mike McKenzie tore his ACL in week 16. He turns 32 and has only two years left on his contract. His future in New Orleans is uncertain. In the “glass half full” department: the four-year/$15.6 million contract the Saints signed free agent Jason David to last year included only a $3.5 million signing bonus. So they can cut ties with him any time they want, which might be advisable because David performed worse last year than “hole in zone” according to the game charting over at Football Outsiders. 2006 “toastee” Fred Thomas is a free agent not likely to return. The Saints will hope 2007 third-rounder Usama Young can step up and claim one of the starting spots; I think he'll be fine, but ideally he would have another year in sub packages before taking on the full starter's role. Jason Craft is a decent backup.

2. Middle Linebacker
Mark Simoneau is a free agent the Saints won't be asking back. Brian Simmons will be 33 by the time the season starts; he offered little production in 2007 and could be one and done in The Big Easy.

3. Center
Both starter Jeff Faine and backup Jonathan Goodwin are free agents. How good has Faine been these last two years in New Orleans? In 2006 he ranked first in Yakuza Rich's statistical rankings for centers and in 2007 he ranked second.

4. Tight End
Eric Johnson had a disappointing season and will be a free agent, as will backup Billy Miller. That leaves the Saints with only 32-year-old Mark Campbell under contract: a blocking tight end coming off of a back injury that cost him the entire season.

5. Weakside Linebacker
Scott Shanle has manned this spot for two years but it's time for an upgrade. Shanle's value resides in being a versatile backup. 30-year-old Troy Evans is primarily a special teamer.

6. Defensive Tackle
Brian Young is a free agent, even if the Saints bring him back, he will turn 31 this summer. Run stuffers Hollis Thomas, 34, and Kendrick Clancy, who will turn 30 this year, are up there in age. Even career-backup Antwan Lake will turn 29. A late-season addition, Orien Harris, the Steelers' 2006 fourth-rounder, hasn't been able to stick with a roster yet.

7. Wide Receiver
Marques Colston is great, but beyond that this is a position filled with question marks. Devery Henderson couldn't keep his starting job and will be a free agent, as will David Patten, the guy who replaced Henderson. The Saints are reportedly interested in bringing back Patten, as he did make some nice plays for them, but at this point he's really no more than a third or fourth receiver. Lance Moore looked good compared to Henderson, but he'll have to show more consistency in order to get more playing time. Even with the Saints' struggles at wide out, 2007 first-rounder Robert Meacham didn't show enough to the coaches to be active for a single game.

8. Defensive End
The Saints simply didn't get enough production out of ends Will Smith and, especially, Charles Grant, though some of that could be attributed to the atrocious play by certain members of the secondary. Renaldo Wynn is a capable backup and a free agent who could find himself back in New Orleans.

9. Quarterback
The backups are Jamie Martin and Tyler Palko. At the very least, the Saints should bring in competition for Palko as the developmental guy.

Team Needs: Cincinnati Bengals

1. Defensive End
Barring the bad luck of again having his team's linebacking corps decimated by injuries, Robert Geathers should find himself back starting at one end spot. But Justin Smith is a free agent, and after a poor 2007 in which he was tagged as the team's franchise player, probably won't be back. 2006 third-rounder Frostee Rucker played in the first five games of his career and totaled seven tackles: he'll be fighting just to keep his roster spot in 2008. The Bengals could be helped here if OLB/DE David Pollack is able to make a near-miraculous comeback from his 2006 neck injury.

2. Linebacker
A lot of potential here, but little to count on. In addition to the unlikely return of Pollack, there's the possible return of 2005 second-rounder Odell Thurman. He played like a future All-Pro at times during his rookie season, but off-field issues kept him off the field for two years. He's practicing with the team again and if he's allowed to play, and does so at his old level, it will be a big boost. Ahmad Brooks has loads of talent but has been unable to stay healthy; if he can, he could be the centerpiece of this unit for years to come. Leading tackler Landon Johnson is a free agent, as is Dhani Jones who is strictly an insurance policy at this point in his career. Lemar Marshall, another free agent, is 31 and coming off of an Achilles tear.

3. Defensive Tackle
Second-year nose tackle Domata Peko played well enough in his first year as a starter to retain the job. The position could be upgraded, but it's not a necessity. What is a necessity is an explosive under tackle with an ability to shoot into the backfield and disrupt some plays. John Thornton was the starter last season and could fill a situational role on passing downs and be a decent backup.

4. Offensive Tackle
Levi Jones should be back to his old self at left tackle. But right tackle Willie Anderson turns 33 in July, and Stacy Andrews, who took great strides last season, is a free agent. Andrew Whitworth could switch from guard back to tackle if needed, which helps keep this from being a higher need.

5. Wide Receiver
T.J. Houshmandzadeh proved to casual fans just how valuable he is (hardcore fans, and dedicated Bengal fans, already knew). But how long will Chad Johnson be sticking around? And is Chris Henry going to do the things a pro needs to do, on and off the field, to be a consistent player?

6. Center
Though he's serviceable, Eric Ghiaciuc is the weak link on the line. The Bengals could use an upgrade here.

7. Tight End
Reggie Kelly's adequate, and the team reportedly likes Daniel Coats' potential, but the depth could be improved.

Team Needs: Baltimore Ravens

1. Quarterback
Steve McNair has been one of my favorites over the past decade or so, but it's pretty clear he's not his old self. I'm not positive, but I believe it would be only a small cap hit—basically a wash—if the Ravens were to release him. And though I hate to say it, if that's true, it's what I would do. At a cost of only $2 million dollars in 2008, Kyle Boller might have one last chance to win the starting job. If he does start, it will most likely be to keep the seat warm for whichever young QB the Ravens draft. Troy Smith can be fun to watch, but he's a career backup at best.

2. Offensive Tackle
If Jonathan Ogden doesn't retire, this need gets knocked down a peg or two. But no matter what, with Ogden at the end of his career and Adam Terry battling injuries last season, the Ravens need to add a starting-caliber tackle.

3. Cornerback
Chris McAlister struggled with a knee injury last season that cost him eight games. He will turn 31 in June and could be headed for the swift decline that has hit many cornerbacks before him. Samari Rolle, who turns 32 in August, is well into such a decline. Corey Ivy provides depth, but he can't be counted on as a starter.

4. Wide Receiver
Like McNair and Rolle, Derrick Mason is a former Titan who isn't nearly up to his old All-Pro level. He caught a lot of passes, but for relatively little value, ranking 65th in DVOA out of 87 WRs with a minimum of 50 passes thrown their way. Mark Clayton had a disappointing year but should be able to bounce back if the Ravens can get more consistent play from the quarterback position. Demetrius Williams will enter his third season hoping it's a breakout year for him as it has been for many a receiver before him. Devard Darling showed some flashes of big-play ability after making almost no impact his first three seasons, but now he's a free agent.

5. Outside Linebacker
The vaunted Ravens defense only registered 32 sacks, not terrible (they ranked 14th in adjusted sack rate), but a number they'll certainly look to improve in 2008. Terrell Suggs will receive the franchise tag and be brought back to start on one side. But last year's other starter Jarret Johnson will likely be replaced. 2007 fourth-rounder Antwan Barnes could be the guy who wins the job. But even if that happens, the Ravens need to add another pass rusher to rotate in.

6. Tight End
Todd Heap is a top-ten tight end at a time when there seem to be more great ones than ever before. That said, the Ravens lack depth behind him; and should he struggle with an injury the way he did in 2007, the Ravens would again be in trouble at this position. Not to mention that it helps to be able to run two-tight-end sets effectively.

Team Needs: San Francisco 49ers

1. Wide Receiver
Darrell Jackson looked worse in San Francisco than he ever did in Seattle (and he had some tough times in the Emerald City). Arnaz Battle can be described, at best, as steady. Ashley Lelie barely resembled a pro wide out last year, and while I can see Mike Martz's arrival rejuvenating Lelie's career, that's not something the 49ers can afford to count on. It's not uncommon for a receiver to take a few years to adjust to the NFL, but 2007 third-rounder Jason Hill only managed one reception on a team where he should have been able to accomplish more than that.

2. Defensive End
San Francisco's base 3-4 takes a big hit with the retirement of Bryant Young and the free agency of Marques Douglas. The 49ers might have to be content to let Ronald Fields and Ray McDonald battle each other for one of the starting spots; at the very least, they need to find one new quality starter.

3. Guard
Larry Allen is retiring and Justin Smiley who finished the year on IR will be a free agent. David Baas should retain his starting spot at right guard, but the 49ers will have to bring in somebody new to fill the hole in the roster on the left side.

4. Cornerback
Walt Harris turns 34 this summer and even if the 49ers can squeeze one more decent year out of him, there's no one on the roster who can be a quality starter when he's done. In fact, there's no one on the roster who the 49ers should be content to have as their nickel corner entering next season.

5. Inside Linebacker
Defensive rookie of the year Patrick Willis holds down one spot, but it's time to replace 33-year-old Derek Smith at the other. Former starter Brandon Moore could be the starter again, but an upgrade would be nice, and at the very least depth is needed.

6. Outside Linebacker
This should be a stronger unit in 2008 with both 2006 first-rounder Manny Lawson and 2007 fourth-rounder Jay Moore coming back from injuries. But Lawson has had trouble staying healthy as a pro, so insurance is called for. 2007 free-agent signing Tully Banta-Cain had only 3.5 sacks with one of them coming late in the season against a Bucs team that was resting many of its starters.

7. Fullback
Moran Norris is a one-dimensional, blocking fullback who, if last year was any indication, is no longer adequate at that one dimension. I would rate this as more of a need if Mike Martz weren't coming to town.

8. Running Back
Frank Gore is a top-ten back, but Maurice Hicks is a free agent and Michael Robinson appears to be strictly a situational guy. In a draft that's as deep as ever at the running back spot, the 49ers should use a mid-to-late round pick on a young back who can come in and take some of the load off of Gore. I would rate this as more of a need if Mike Martz weren't coming to town (déjà vu).

Team Needs: New York Jets

1. Right Tackle
After a serviceable 2006 season, Anthony Clement struggled in 2007. No one on the roster could step up when the Jets tried to replace him late in the year. Like any other team in their position (huge need on the o-line, cap room to spare), the Jets should make a play for Stacy Andrews in free agency. He can step in as either the right tackle (preferable given his likely cost) or left guard, leaving the other spot to be filled through the draft.

2. Nose Tackle
Although at times he made plays, Dewayne Robertson isn't a good fit in the Jets 3-4 defense and is a key reason for the poor run defense the past two seasons (last year they ranked 30th against the run in DVOA). 2005 third-rounder Sione Pouha finally started to show something, but it's not enough for the Jets to go into next season counting on him as the starter.

3. Outside Linebacker
Bryan Thomas had a career year in 2006 and turned it into a five-year, $25 million extension. In 2007 he basically disappeared, losing his starting job to backup David Bowens. The Jets should look to converting end Shaun Ellis to outside linebacker and hope he has as much success as the Dallas Cowboys did with his namesake Greg Ellis. That would at least take care of one spot. Victor Hobson is a free agent and is not at his best on the outside in a four-backer scheme.

4. Defensive End
Yes, there's a theme here. If Shaun Ellis moves to linebacker then someone has to step up and start at end in the base 3-4. Is either C.J. Mosley or Kareem Brown that guy? Not likely. Kenyon Coleman played well enough to retain his starting spot, especially if Mosley and Brown can step up and help out more in rotation.

5. Guard
One of the worst moves in the league last off season was the Jets refusal to rework Pete Kendall's contract, and his subsequent trade to the Redskins. The move created a domino effect on the offensive line. 2006 first rounders D'Brickashaw Ferguson and Nick Mangold regressed, tough Mangold less so that Ferguson. Brandon Moore is tolerable at right guard, but left guard is a gaping hole.

6. Cornerback
First round pick Darrelle Revis looks like he'll be an All-Pro in another couple of years. But the Jets have nothing besides him: If the Jets open next season with Hank Poteat, Andre Dyson, David Barrett, or Justin Miller starting opposite Revis, they're just asking for it.

7. Wide Receiver
Laveranues Coles is 30, missed six starts last season due to injury, and has only two years left on his contract. Jerricho Cotchery is a great number two receiver, but may or may not be a true number one. Brad Smith is a versatile player, an asset to the team, but his skills as a receiver are limited and he shouldn't be more than the number four. Justin McCareins will be gone, except in the nightmares of countless Jets fans.

8. Fullback
Darian Barnes was released mid-season, while Stacy Tutt spent most of his second year on IR. A traditional lead-blocking fullback would go a long line way to helping the Jets run game.

9. Safety
Kerry Rhodes is an All-Pro caliber player who can play either safety position equally well. Abram Elam is a great special teamer who, barring improvement (which is possible given his limited experience), is ideally suited to a backup role.

Team Needs: Kansas City Chiefs

1. Left Tackle
Damion McIntosh should be moved inside to guard where he would be an asset and not a liability. In order to do that, the Chiefs need another starting-caliber left tackle on their roster, which they're not even close to having.

2. Quarterback
Brodie Croyle might look like Joe Namath, but I don't see him leading the Chiefs to an upset Super Bowl victory at any point in the future. Damon Huard is a capable backup who turns 35 this summer.

3. Cornerback
Ty Law is approaching the end of the line, actually he has been for years, but his knack for highlight-making interceptions artificially inflated the perception of his play. Patrick Surtain, too, is near the end of his career. What's worse is that the Chiefs lack any depth or a young player with a good chance to step in and be an improvement.

4. Right Tackle
This one assumes left tackle Damion McIntosh is moved inside to guard and not to right tackle (or kept at left tackle). If McIntosh is moved to right tackle, then the need is at right guard instead. Will Svitek is fine to have around as a backup, but not a tackle you should be satisfied with as your starter.

5. Defensive End
All-Pro Jared Allen is a free agent; if KC loses out on his services to another team, they'll still have Tamba Hali at left end, but there'll be basically nothing else. Turk McBride is a tweener who seems best suited for subbing in at tackle on passing downs. Even if Allen is re-signed, depth is sorely needed.

6. Wide Receiver
2007 first-rounder Dwayne Bowe has a great career in front of him, but other than he and tight end Tony Gonzalez, the Chiefs don't have a lot of good receiving options. Samie Parker is a free agent not likely to return. Eddie Kennison battled injuries before finally landing on IR and is a possible cap cut. 2006 sixth-rounder Jeff Webb is a possession receiver.

7. Linebacker
Derrick Johnson should be starting on the weakside. Napolean Harris is a stop-gap starter in the middle who would probably be upgraded if there weren't so many other needs. Donnie Edwards will turn 35 in April and should be given a limited role. Kendrell Bell was a poor free agent signing and after three season in KC is unlikely to return.

8. Tight End
Tony Gonzalez is still one of the top tight ends in the game, but he is soon to turn 32 and the Chiefs lack depth at the position. Jason Dunn is 34 and no longer the sturdy blocker he once was.

9. Special Teams
Including 2007 fifth-round pick Justin Medlock, KC went through three kickers, ending the season with 43-year-old John Carney. If the Chifefs don't do something they could be ending next season with Morten Anderson. On top of that, they replaced Dante Hall (not a bad idea) with Eddie Drummond (oops!) and had one of the worst return games in the league.

Team Needs: Oakland Raiders

1. Wide Receiver
Jerry Porter is a free agent, leaving Ronald Curry, who was actually their leading receiver last season, as Oakland's go-to guy. Not good. Mid-season replacement Tim Dwight quickly injured himself and is another free agent who seems unlikely to return. 2007 third-rounder Johnnie Lee Higgins is a work in progress. The Raiders need to acquire not just a number one receiver, but a number two as well.

2. Defensive Tackle
Warren Sapp has said he's retiring. Terdell Sands, after playing well in 2006 and receiving a new contract, couldn't even hold down his starting job. Gerard Warren, brought over in a trade with the Denver Broncos, claimed Sands' starting spot but was his usual inconsistent self. Tyler Brayton is a free agent coming off of his poorest season. And the best of the bunch, Tommy Kelly, is a free agent coming off of an ACL injury.

3. Defensive End
Without solid play from the guys inside, the undersized Derrick Burgess was exposed against the run. Jay Richardson has prototypical base end size, but lacked production. Pass rushing specialist Chris Clemons played well but will likely be lost to free agency.

4. Left Tackle
Barry Sims is 33 and the Raiders have been trying to replace him for years. 2007 third-rounder Mario Henderson struggled mightily and didn't look like the future here.

5. Strong Safety
Michael Huff would be better off at free safety and it finally looks like the Raiders will find a way to play him there. Rashad Baker, who was picked up after being released by the Patriots late last season, isn't ready to be more than a backup.

6. Cornerback
Nnamdi Asomugha is one of the best in the league and the Raiders will keep him from seeing free agency, at least this year. But former first-rounder Fabian Washington regressed in 2007 and lost his starting job to Stanford Routt who himself didn't look up to the task. John Bowie, the infamous fourth-round pick acquired in the Randy Moss trade, is still a ways from challenging for a starting spot.

7. Strong-side Linebacker
Robert Thomas did a decent job when asked to step in and take over for the struggling Sam Williams, but the Raiders would be best off with Thomas as a backup who could fill in at any of the linebacking spots. Williams was re-signed to a one-year deal, but it would seem his role would be limited to playing in the occasional 3-4 alignment or as a nickel pass rusher.

Roster Evaluation: Atlanta Falcons

Quaterback
Unfortunately for the Falcons their best quarterback in 2007, Chris Redman, is a free agent. They should make an effort to re-sign him because it doesn't look like there's going to be a better option in free agency. Joey Harrington is due $2.5 million and will likely be cut. Byron Leftwich is due the same salary plus a $1.15 million option bonus. He was just plain awful and without a doubt should be let go.
 Whether or not the Falcons bring back Redman, they have to bring some decent competition for the job. Rex Grossman, Daunte Culpepper, and Josh McCown are the big names in free agency, and Atlanta should stay away from them all. Better competition for the starting job would be Quinn Gray, Shaun Hill, or even Bill Volek. Todd Collins would have been a nice option if they had pursued Al Saunders for head coach or offensive coordinator.
 There's not a quaterback in this draft I would take with a top-five pick. The Falcons should sit tight and see if Brian Brohm falls to the second round. If not, Josh Johnson out of San Diego, could be had with a mid-round pick. While Johnson is still a bit raw, he has the skills to someday be Michael Vick 2.0: a dynamic playmaker and a smarter, better passer than Vick was.

Running Back
Warrick Dunn has been one of my favorite players to watch over the years, but it's time for the Falcons to say goodbye to him. Jerious Norwood didn't get nearly enough touches last year, and while Norwood isn't a twenty-carries-a-game feature back, there are plenty of options in free agency or the draft to team him with a productive backfield mate.
 As a second day pick, South Carolina's Cory Body would be an excellent complement to Norwood, as would Georgia back Thomas Brown.
 Fullback Ovie Mughelli went from being an all-pro for Baltimore in 2006 to seeing limited action for Atlanta last season. New Head Coach Mike Smith needs to make better use of Mughelli's skills, especially given the highly questionable quality of the offensive line.

Wide Receiver
2005 first-rounder Roddy White finally started to reach the potential he showed that made him a high draft pick, which is especially good because 2004 first-rounder Michael Jenkins continues to underwhelm. Joe Horn was another in a long line of disappointing free agent signings and he's not likely to be back.
 There's not a heck of a lot in free agency that can help the Falcons at this point. Bernard Berrian is at the head of the class, but he doesn't seem like the right fit for the Falcons at this time. New GM Thomas Dimitroff comes over from New England and he may want to try to capture some of that Patriots magic by signing Jabar Gaffney.
 The draft is deep at the wide receiver position and there is sure to be a top-rated WR on the board when the Falcons pick in the second round. California's Lavelle Hawkins, Vanderbilt's Earl Bennett, or Florida's Andre Caldwell should be there and any of them would be a solid addition to the Falcon offense.

Tight End
Alge Crumpler was always a little overrated, and now that he's battling knee problems that look like they might be a chronic issue, he could very well be done. 2007 fourth-rounder Martrez Milner is a decent blocking back who finished the season on IR and should be an asset in two tight end sets.
 The Falcons should shy away from the big name tight ends in free agency. Dallas Clark excels partly because of the system he's in and L.J. Smith has never quite attained the level expected of him—he seems like the kind of signing the Falcons have made in recent years only to regret it a year or two later. I do like Ben Troupe, if he can be signed cheaply—maybe even on a one or two year contract with incentives—because he's still only 25 and has that upside.
 With all of Atlanta's needs they probably don't want to go for a tight end too early. Michigan State's Kellen Davis in round three would be a nice pickup, though it might be two or three seasons before he pays dividends. Kentucky's Jacob Tamme is a mid-to-late round guy who could be a nice complement to Milner.

Offensive Line
Devastated by injuries (the Falcons started four different left tackles last season), the offensive line was one of the worst in the league. The unit ranked dead last in Football Outsider's Adjusted Line Yards metric, and finished in the bottom third of the leauge (23rd) in FO's Adjusted Sac Rate.
 Atlanta will have to replace starting left tackle Wayne Gandy who is coming off a torn ACL at age 37. Undersized tackle Todd Weiner is 32 and also coming off of a knee injury, but he can play either side and should be able to hold down one of the starting jobs. Undrafted rookie Renardo Foster, who was brought along from Louisville by Bobby Petrino, started two games in place of Gandy before suffering his own torn ACL; he will have to battle for one of the backup spots. 2006 fifth-rounder Quinn Ojinnaka will have to show great improvement to stick with the team.
 If the Falcons are going to make a splash in free agency this should be the spot. Stacy Andrews could be brought in to play right tackle, which would allow Weiner to man the left side until his replacement can be developed. If that's the case, a sleeper such as Northern Iowa's Brandon Keith would be a nice late-round selection, or they could look at a potentially undervalued prospect like Virginia Tech's Duane Brown.
 Right guard Kynan Forney was largely ineffective last season following a 2006 campaign cut short by a shoulder injury. Forney is due to make $3 million in 2008, the last year of a five-year deal, making it almost certain he'll have to try to regain his old form on a different team. That leaves Tyson Clabo, who filled in at right tackle last season, with the inside track for the right guard spot.
 Left guard Justin Blalock, Atlanta's second round pick last year, will have to show improvement to hold down his starting job; although with so many other holes to be filled, the job could be his by default.
 Veteran center Todd McClure seems likely to return as the starter, with 2007 sixth-rounder Doug Datish, who spent the entire season on injured reserve, as his backup. The Falcons would be wise to select late in the draft a lineman such as Georgia's Fernando Velasco who could help out at guard or center.

Defensive Line
The often injured John Abraham started all sixteen games for only the second time in his eight-year career, recording 10 of Atlanta's 25 sacks. 2007 first-rounder Jamaal Anderson was a major disappointment, failing to deliver a single sack. Having just turned 22, Anderson obviously still has upside; a year in an NFL strength and conditioning program should go a long way toward improving his game, as long as he has the drive. While their starters at end are set, the Falcons should look to add depth late in the draft.
 The inside positions are less settled. Former All-Pro tackle, Rod Coleman got off to a slow start due to an off-season injury and finished the season on IR with a torn tricep. Coleman will turn 32 this summer and could be a cap casualty as the Falcons look to rebuild the line. Sixth-rounder Trey Lewis was a pleasant surprise as a space eater inside and could be a solid two-down player. 2005 third-rounder Jonathan Babineaux has been inconsistent, but might be better off subbing in for Lewis on passing downs. That would help, too, because there's currently no quality depth inside at all.
 With their first round pick the Falcons should have a shot at either Sedrick Ellis or Glenn Dorsey, and they should definitely select the one still on the board.

Linebackers
Strongside linebacker Michael Boley is one of the most underrated defenders in the league and played at an All-Pro level last season. Weakside backer Demorrio Williams is a free agent and seems unlikely to return with 2007 fourth-rounder Stephen Nicholas showing promise. The big question is Keith Brooking who played out of position in the middle. If Atlanta wants to contend for a division title, they can't afford to do that again. The 32-year-old Brooking is scheduled to make $5 million next year and is almost certainly a cap cut.
 Atlanta has no need to spend in free agency for a linebacker. They should address the middle spot by selecting either Oklahoma's Curtis Lofton or Tennessee's Jerod Mayo in the second round, or Georgia Tech's Phillip Wheeler in the third.


Defensive Backs
As underrated as Boley is, DeAngelo Hall is at least that much overrated. He's not bad, but he's far from great, and no where near being the shutdown corner he has sometimes been portrayed as. Second-rounder Chris Houston flashed his abilities at times, but was largely inconsistent. As long as he continues to improve, the other starting job is his to lose. Sixth-rounder David Irons also has to make strides in his game if he's to challenge Lewis Sanders as the nickel back.
 Strong safety Lawyer Milloy has been good for veteran leadership the past couple of seasons, but that's about it. While his base salary of $1.7 million isn't prohibitive, I see little reason for a rebuilding team sorely in need of cap space to bring him back. Free safety Chris Crocker is a free agent and the Falcons would be better served by taking some of the dollars freed up by their cap cuts and making a play for Gibril Wilson, Ken Hamlin, or Eugene Wilson. 2006 second-rounder Jimmy Williams appears to be a bust, but will be kept around to see if the new coaching staff can finally get something out of him. Sixth-rounder Darren Stone is the backup strong safety and could be given a chance to start if Milloy's cut. And as with most teams in a position similar to the Falcons, I like Yeremiah Bell as a value signing/short-term solution at strong safety.

Kicker
Morten Anderson will turn 48 this summer. He's my favorite all-time kicker, but I can't imagine he's going to reach his goal of kicking in the NFL when he's 50. Last season had to be the end of the road for him. Rather than invest in a big name free-agent kicker like Seattle's Josh Brown, the Falcons should use a late draft pick—perhaps on Georgia's Brandon Coutu if he's on the board—or bring in a mix of undrafted free agents and street free agents to contend for the job.

Punter
Michael Koenen is among the top punters in the league, though you might not recognize it by looking at net average alone, where he ranked a respectable ninth in the league. Koenen led the NFL with 31 fair catches: 12 better than second placers Kansas City's Dustin Colquitt and San Diego's Mike Scifres. Koenen also landed 30 punts inside the 20 (tied for fourth) against only 5 touchbacks. As a bonus, Koenen is solid at kickoffs (eighth in touchback percent, tenth in average yards) and the 25-year-old should be a Falcon for many years to come.

Roster Evaluation: St. Louis Rams

Quaterback
Marc Bulger will be back at the helm next season. When healthy, and behind a line that isn't decimated by injuries the way the Rams line was last season, Bulger is still a Pro Bowl quality QB. Gus Frerotte has one-year left on his contract and should be the backup again, while the Rams bring in a mid-to-late round draft pick to groom for the future. If Michigan's Chad Henne is on the board in round three, he'd be a good get. Erik Ainge out of Tennessee is one of my favorite mid-level prospects, while San Diego's Josh Johnson might do well if brought along slowly like Tony Romo was.

Running Back
The Rams are set at running back with Steven Jackson. Brian Leonard is an adequate backup and Antonio Pittman is fine as the number three guy. One of the Rams mistakes this past season was releasing fullback Madison Hedgecock after one game. He's a solid blocker who helped pave the way for the New York Giants consistently good run game. The Rams power running, meanwhile, was among the worst in the league.
 Steelers full back Dan Kreider will be available in free agency, but will be 31. There are decent full back prospects in the draft, such as West Virginia's Own Schmitt, but with the Rams personnel they would be better served to add depth at WR and TE and continue to run single-back sets with Jackson and Leonard.

Wide Receiver
At 35, Isaac Bruce is a likely cap casualty. Torry Holt will turn 32 this off-season but appears to have a few productive seasons left in him. Last year the Rams brought in Drew Bennett and he was a huge disappointment. Given the money put into Bennett last year, St. Louis would be better off looking to the draft and it's deep class of receivers. Vanderbilt's Earl Bennett and Michigan's Mario Manningham are players who fit the Rams offense and could be available at the top of the second round. Likewise Lousiville's Harry Douglas and Houston's Donnie Avery warrant a look at the top of the third. And there are plenty of guys worth taking a chance on in the later rounds, from Alabama's D.J. Hall to Appalachian State's Dexter Jackson.

Tight End
Randy McMichael was another disappointing free agent signing. Joe Klopfenstein suffered a sophomore slump. And Dominique Byrd continued to struggle with immaturity issues. The Rams need to stay away from the big free agents out there (Dallas Clark and L.J. Smith), work with what they have and bring in another good young prospect. The Rams should stick mainly to a one-back system, running a lot of plays from two tight-end formations. This is a relatively deep draft for tight-ends and someone like Purdue's Dustin Keller or Tennessee's Brad Cottam would be a solid mid-round pick. And if Kellen Davis is there in the third round, the Rams should take a good hard look at him for his upside: if he can put it all together he would be comparable to Kellen Winslow Jr.

Offensive Line
The Rams were incredibly unlucky with injuries last year and so they can count on improvement from this unit just by some of the starters staying healthy. Still, Orlando Pace has been injured two years in a row and just doesn't have many seasons ahead of him. 2005 first-rounder Alex Barron, while showing flashes of his potential, hasn't shown nearly enough consistency or the necessary focus to be the Rams left tackle of the future. Unfortunately, backup left tackles can't be picked up off the street; the Rams will have to look to the draft for a tackle to develop, one from the second tier of prospects, such as Vanderbilt's Chris Williams, Toledo's John Greco, or Clemson's Barry Richardson.
 The interior line could be solidified with starting guards Mark Setterstrom and Richie Incognito returning from injuries, but neither of them has gotten on the field much in their short careers, so it's hard to say for sure. Center Brett Romberg is a free agent who could probably be brought back cheaply, and the Rams should sign him for depth.
 If I were the Rams I would stay away from Steelers high-priced free agent guard Alan Faneca, who is clearly on the downside of his all-pro career. Ryan Lilja of Indianapolis will be available and could be a good fit for the Rams offense, but he'll be costly, too. The offensive lineman I'd be most likely to go out and spend for is Cincinnati's Stacey Andrews, who is just hitting his peak. He could be slotted in at right guard, and Incognito could be moved to center. If Pace were to go out with an injury again, necessitating Barron's move back to left tackle, Andrews could slide over to Barron's spot, which he can man more than capably.

Defensive Line
Leonard Little is 33 and due to make $9.5 million if the Rams don't re-negotiate his contract. On the other end James Hall soon turns 31 and might not be worth his $3 million base salary in 2008. DT La'Roi Glover is also 33, but he showed he can still be productive in limited playing time, while 2007 fifth-rounder Clifton Ryan was a pleasant surprise. Last year's first round pick Adam Carriker was solid and should continue to improve.
 The big question: will the Rams switch to a 3-4 defense or stick to their 4-3? Coming off such a disastrous season, and with so many of the key players in their front seven winding down their careers, now might actually be the right time to make the change. If Greg Ellis can play OLB in Dallas, then Little, who has experience as a linebacker, should be able to make the move.
 If the Rams switch to the 3-4, Carriker could benefit the most, as 3-4 end is his most natural position. Glover and backup DE Victor Adeyanju could be effective in rotation. And of course with the second pick in the draft the Rams are guaranteed a chance at at least one of the two top-prospects who can play in a 30 front: Glenn Dorsey and Chris Long.

Linebackers
Beyond team MVP Will Witherspoon, the linebacking corps is thin. If they switch to a 3-4, the only other starter penciled in besides Witherspoon at ILB would be Leonard Little at OLB. But the switch in schemes can be done because free agency presents some options. For instance, the Rams could fill in the open starting spots with a couple of mid-level free agency signings with 3-4 experience: Jets ILB Victor Hobson and Cardinals OLB Calvin Pace. Such additions won't make the Rams defense dominant, but they will allow the Rams to compete while transitioning their defensive roster. If they want a little more fire-power they could look instead at another Cardinal, Karlos Dansby, or at Baltimore's Terrell Suggs. The Steelers' Clark Haggans will also be available, but the Rams should focus on acquiring younger talent and Haggans is already 31.
 It's also worth noting that a change in scheme doesn't necessarily mean Chris Draft or Pisa Tinolsamoa are gone: they could find a role in nickel and dime packages.
 In the draft, the Rams should have a shot at landing any number of players who could be OLBs in a 3-4 system, from second or third round prospects like Auburn's Quentin Groves or Virginia Tech's Chris Ellis to potential steals like Georgia's Marcus Howard or UCLA's Bruce Davis.

Defensive Backs
The Rams DBs were torched a lot last season. Part of that can be attributed to the poor pass rush, and another part to the fact that their starters only lined up together six times (all of the Rams three wins came in that group of games). Fakhir Brown missed four games due to suspension, but played well enough the rest of the season. 2006 first-rounder Tye Hill also played well, but he missed eight games due to injuries. One of my 2007 pet cats, third-rounder Jonathan Wade was pressed into action sooner than the Rams wanted, and it showed, but it was expected he'd be raw and he still has upside. Free safety Oshiomogho Atogwe topped the NFC with eight interceptions; he's a restricted free agent and the Rams should place a first-round tender on him. Strong safety Corey Chavous is 32 but only in the third year of his five-year deal. Given all of their needs, the Rams will likely live with Chavous and backup Tood Johnson, perhaps bringing in a seventh-rounder and an undrafted free agent or two for competition.

Roster Evaluation: Miami Dolphins

Quaterback
Parcells & Co. will look for a veteran QB who can "drive the bus" until a franchise QB can be brought in. Cleo Lemon is a free agent who probably won't be resigned because he doesn't fit the QB prototype that Parcells likes. John Beck also doesn't fit the prototype, and I could see the Dolphins trying to deal him to another team for a low-round pick.
 In free agency there aren't going to be many options. Todd Collins who had some success as the Redskins backup might be the best "busdriver" available. If they could trade for Browns restricted free agent Derek Anderson without giving up too much that would be a great move, but the Browns seem more and more like they aren't willing to deal Anderson for what most teams would want to give up to get him.
 Without a Peyton Manning or Carson Palmer available with the number one pick in the NFL draft, the Dolphins would be wise to wait and see who is on the board at the top of the third round. Tennessee's Erik Ainge is comparable to Derek Anderson, while Delaware's Joe Flacco is in the Ben Roethlisberger mold, although Flacco's not quite the top-flight prospect Big Ben was.

Running Back
There's a zero percent chance of the Dolphins using the top pick in this draft on a running back. That's not the way Parcells & Co. roll, and it's a good thing because there's no reason to spend that much for a back, even an elite prospect like Darren McFadden. What's more, the Dolphins already have one of the top five RBs in the league. Ronnie Brown was leading the NFL in yards from scrimmage at the time of his injury. With Ricky Williams and Jesse Chatman as backups, and Marty Booker the resident scat back, the Phins don't even have to go out of their way to acquire depth. Instead, they can wait for someone to fall to them and pick up a mid-round steal. I know the guy I'd be looking for is Cory Boyd, whose hard runs reminded me of watching Dallas's Marion Barber, and whose earlier character issues seem to be well behind him.

Wide Receiver
Miami's most consistent receiver the past few seasons, Marty Booker is almost certainly going to say goodbye to Miami. He'll be 32 next season and in the last year of a contract that would pay him $4.3 million. 2006 third-rounder Derek Hagan has been disappointing in his first two seasons and could be gone quick if he doesn't start catching the ball more consistently. Last year's top draft choice Ted Ginn Jr. may need to get good in a hurry if the Dolphins are going to have any kind of vertical game.
 To improve their woeful depth chart, and complement Ginn, the Dolphins should bring in a solid possession WR, an underrated free agent like Ernest Wilford. They might also want to steal a page from the Patriots off-season playbook and sign multiple free agents at the position, guys like Bryant Johnson, D.J. Hackett (whose only problem is he can't stay healthy), or the Patriot's own Jabar Gaffney.
 While the draft lacks an elite WR, there's plenty of depth, so the Dolphins could add another couple of young receivers with their later picks, or even as undrafted free agents. This was a strong point of Parcells and Ireland in Dallas, where they brought in Patrick Crayton, Terrence Copper, and Sam Hurd.

Tight End
Parcells loves his tight ends, and he's sure to replace the Mueller/Cameron guys—David Martin, Justin Peelle, and Aaron Halterman—with some of his own. Sean Ryan was a 2004 Cowboys pick who played the past two seasons with the Jets. He's primarily a blocker and if the Phins sign him it would be to add depth. Same deal if they sign 2000 Parcells draft pick Anthony Becht who has spent the last three seasons in Tampa. Yalie Eric Johnson, a good receiver and decent all-around TE, is another guy that could be on their radar.
 This draft has some good talent at TE. Parcells and Ireland are the guys who drafted Anthony Fasano in round two with Dallas. This year there's another Notre Dame TE, John Carlson, and he's an even better prospect. Don't be surprised if the Dolphins snag him in the second round.

Offensive Line
Another part of the team that will likely see an instant make over. Vernon Carey, who is in the last year of his contract, was a pleasant surprise as the left tackle, but he could be moved back to the right side where L.J. Shelton is a potential cap casualty. And both of Miami's starting guards, Rex Hadnot and Chris Liwienski, are set to be free agents. Having proven, if nothing, great versatility, Carey should get a contract extension so that the Dolphins can move forward with building their line around him and 2007 second-round center Samson Satele.
 There are some free agents that could be in play for the Dolphins. Flozell Adams is getting up there in age, but he had a dominant 2007 (see Dr. Z's all-pro write-up if you don't believe me). While signing him might not be the smartest long-term move because of what it will cost to land him (not just dollars, but years), it's the kind of move that can help turn around a franchise quickly. Stacey Andrews filled in nicely at right tackle for the Bengals last year and can also play inside at guard. His best years are still ahead of him and because of that he's the most valuable free agent lineman out there. Jason Fabini's best years are well behind him (especially his pass blocking), but he was a Parcells guy and could be brought in for the vet minimum to provide depth and start in a pinch.

Defensive Line
Make no mistake, the Dolphins will be trotting out a 3-4 base defense in 2008. Vonnie Holiday is 32 years old but signed through 2010; he's the likely starter at one of the end spots. They have a trio of young nose tackles (Paul Soliai, Steve Fifita, and Anthony Bryant): could one of them step up and be a stop-gap at the position until a high-caliber NT is brought in? Don't count on it: there's a reason Parcells and Ireland didn't draft any of these guys for Dallas when they were looking for a young NT. The other end spot will also be up for grabs with a number of young, unproven linemen on the roster.
 49ers free agent Marques Douglas will be 31 soon, but he's a very good 3-4 end who could solidify the front, so long as the Phins have someone else to rotate in to help keep Douglas fresh throughout games and the throughout the season. Miami might want to take a look at Green Bay DT Corey Williams who appears to have the skills to do well as a 3-4 end. Dallas's Chris Canty is a restricted free agent, but Jerry Jones is bound to give him an extension similar to what Jay Ratliff received a couple of months ago.
 One of the top two or three linemen in the draft, Virginia's Chris Long played for Parcells protégé Al Groh and comes into the leauge already knowing the two-gap scheme likely to be installed. Though a bit undersized, Marcus Harrison out of Arkansas might be the best NT prospect in the draft. But character concerns will likely keep the Phins from taking a chance on him. Instead, they'll probably target someone in the mid-to-late rounds, where Iowa State's Ahtyba Rubin and Texas's Frank Okam are guys to keep an eye on.

Linebackers
Zach Thomas is in the last year of his contract, his base salary is $5.65 million, and he's 5'11", 225 lbs., which doesn't even come close to the prototypical 3-4 ILB that Parcells & Ireland are looking for. So there's pretty much no chance Thomas will be a Dolphin next season.
 Channing Crowder, on the other hand, has the size and speed to play in the new defense. He can opt out of his contract and become a free agent, but a deal should be able to be worked out assuming he and the front office come to the table with reasonable expectations.
 The Dolphins already have a pair of formidable OLBs for their 3-4: Jason Taylor and Joey Porter. Both are getting old (33 and 30 respectively) but both have something left to contribute. And if you doubt that a character like Porter can play in a Parcells-type squad late in his career, I'd point you to Bryan Cox with the Jets in the late 90s.
 Of the young LBs on the roster, 2007 seventh-rounder Abraham Wright out of Colorado might be the best fit, subbing in as a pass rushing OLB.
 Free agency isn't likely to bring any "Parcells guys," but there are a couple intriguing options. Kawika Mitchell of the Giants might work well inside, as might Karlos Dansby of the Cardinals. As far as outside rushers, Terrell Suggs will probably cost more than a smart front office would want to invest in him, but Calvin Pace, another Cardinal, is
coming off his best season and could be a solid mid-level signing.
 I don't expect Miami will use a high pick on a LB. In the mid-to-late rounds, they could target a pass rusher like Purdue's Cliff Avril or Georgia's Marcus Howard, as well as an ILB project like Michigan's Shawn Crable or Vanderbilt's Jonathan Goff.

Defensive Backs
With all of their other needs the Dolphins may have to live for now with the DBs they have. An improved pass rush, after all, goes a long way toward improving the secondary. Will Allen will probably hold down one starting corner spot, while Travis Daniels may get the other one by default. Though unlikely, 2006 first-fournder Jason Allen could even be given a shot to move from free safety to CB, since he would give the Phins a bigger, more physical presence on the edge.
 The best Miami DB the past two seasons has been strong safety Yeremiah Bell, who really came into his own in 2006. Unfortunately he spent much of last season on IR and is now a free agent.
 There will likely be three former Dallas DBs on the market from the Parcells era there. One in particular, safety Keith Davis, seems almost assured of a spot in Miami. He's a great special teams player and can play either safety spot, though he's a more natural strong safety. Former Cowboy CBs Nate Jones and Jacques Reeves could be brought in for depth purposes, but neither is a guy you want starting.
 The best free agent CB is Nnamdi Asomugha of the Raiders, but I can't imagine Oakland wouldn't resign him or at least franchise him for a year. Seattle's Marcus Trufant is another top-notch CB who may or may not be available. If the Dolphins want to make a splash they could go after New England's Asante Samuel, but if the Pats have any interest in resigning him Parcells will keep the Dolphins away. The smartest move might be to pursue a mid-level upgrade like San Diego's Drayton Florence or New England's Randall Gay, while drafting another young CB to bring along.
 Brandon Flowers out of Virgina Tech plays the CB position with a toughness that's sure to have drawn Parcells and Ireland's attention. And though Wisconsin's Jack Ikegwuonu didn't have the best 2007, his style of play has drawn comparisons to Dallas Cowboys CB Anthony Henry.